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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FinlandFinland Unemployment Rate fell to 10.0% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Finland Unemployment Rate fell to 10.0% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 2.7% from May's 12.7% reading. The print came in cooler than the 11.2% consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated. Over the past 3 months, Unemployment Rate averaged 12.15%, vs 10.55% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 68th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
10
Actual
11.2
Consensus
12.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.43 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 11.52
Actual: 10
Error: +1.52
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.63 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Unemployment Rate (Finland) was reported at 10% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 11.2% by 1.2%. The reading fell from the previous value of 12.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 10.22%, ranging from 9.1% to 12.7% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 11.43%, up from the prior three at 10.37%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.06%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 1.01%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Unemployment Rate has averaged 9.4%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.43%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 25, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Unemployment Rate - FI
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About Unemployment Rate — Finland
DEFINITION
The Unemployment Rate is a key economic indicator that measures the percentage of the total labor force that is currently without a job and actively seeking employment. It is used to assess the health of the job market and the overall state of the economy. A high unemployment rate can indicate a weak economy, while a low unemployment rate can suggest a strong and growing economy. This data is closely monitored by policymakers, businesses, and investors to make informed decisions and projections.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 10 %, consensus 11.2 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 12.7 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 11.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.63) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - FI Events
| Friday, August 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | FI | Balance of Trade | -0.91 | -0.82 | -0.82 | Low | |