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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FinlandFinland Unemployment Rate climbed to 11.6% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Finland Unemployment Rate climbed to 11.6% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 0.5% from March's 11.1% reading. The reading matched expectations. Unemployment Rate has now risen for 8 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Unemployment Rate averaged 11.0%, vs 9.97% in the prior 3-month window. Unemployment Rate is now the highest in 35 months.
Latest Release
11.6
Actual
11.5
Consensus
11.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.43 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 11.8
Actual: 11.6
Error: +0.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Unemployment Rate (Finland) was reported at 11.6% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 11.5% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 11.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 10.01%, ranging from 9.1% to 11.6% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 10.97%, up from the prior three at 9.7%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.73%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.94%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Unemployment Rate has averaged 10.27%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.43%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 24, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Unemployment Rate - FI
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About Unemployment Rate — Finland
DEFINITION
The Unemployment Rate is a key economic indicator that measures the percentage of the total labor force that is currently without a job and actively seeking employment. It is used to assess the health of the job market and the overall state of the economy. A high unemployment rate can indicate a weak economy, while a low unemployment rate can suggest a strong and growing economy. This data is closely monitored by policymakers, businesses, and investors to make informed decisions and projections.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 11.6 %, consensus 11.5 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 11.1 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 10.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.46) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.