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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FinlandFinland Unemployment Rate fell to 9.9% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Finland Unemployment Rate fell to 9.9% in July 2026, released August 2026, down 0.1% from June's 10.0% reading. The reading matched expectations. Unemployment Rate has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Unemployment Rate averaged 11.35%, vs 11.2% in the prior 3-month window. Unemployment Rate is now the lowest in 6 months.
Latest Release
9.9
Actual
9.8
Consensus
10
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.36 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 9.82
Actual: 9.9
Error: -0.08
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.70 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.41 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Unemployment Rate (Finland) was reported at 9.9% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 9.8% by 0.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 10%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 10.27%, ranging from 9.1% to 12.7% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 10.87%, down from the prior three at 10.97%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.03%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.97%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Unemployment Rate has averaged 9.03%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.36%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 22, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Unemployment Rate - FI
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About Unemployment Rate — Finland
DEFINITION
The Unemployment Rate is a key economic indicator that measures the percentage of the total labor force that is currently without a job and actively seeking employment. It is used to assess the health of the job market and the overall state of the economy. A high unemployment rate can indicate a weak economy, while a low unemployment rate can suggest a strong and growing economy. This data is closely monitored by policymakers, businesses, and investors to make informed decisions and projections.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 9.9 %, consensus 9.8 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 10 %. Before that (May 2026): 12.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.70) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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