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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance Consumer Confidence climbed to 86.0% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
France Consumer Confidence climbed to 86.0% in July 2026, up 2.0% from June's 84.0% reading. The reading matched the 85.0% consensus. Consumer Confidence has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 83.0%, vs 88.0% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 15th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
86
Actual
85
Consensus
84
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 85
Actual: 86
Error: -1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.52 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| CAC 40 | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (France) was reported at 86% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 85% by 1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 84%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 87.73%, ranging from 82% to 91% across 11 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 84%, down from the prior three at 90%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.7%) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.23%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged 88.67%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/JPY (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 25, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Industrial Production MoM (Aug 5) and Unemployment Rate (Aug 7).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - FR
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About Consumer Confidence — France
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 86 %, consensus 85 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 84 %. Before that (May 2026): 82 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/JPY (Bullish EUR, r=0.52) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - FR Events
| Tuesday, August 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:45 | FR | Budget Balance | -93.3 | -104 | -107.45 | Low | |
| Wednesday, August 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:45 | FR | Industrial Production MoM | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0.55 | Medium | |
| Thursday, August 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:45 | FR | Non-Farm Payrolls QoQ | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Low |
| 07:30 | FR | S&P Global Construction PMI | 38.2 | 39.8 | 39.80 | Low | |
| Friday, August 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 05:30 | FR | Unemployment Rate | 8.1 | 8.1 | 8.10 | Medium | |