Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GreeceGreece Total Credit YoY fell to 3.9% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Greece Total Credit YoY fell to 3.9% in April 2026, released June 2026, down 0.6% from March's 4.5% reading. The reading missed the 4.5% consensus by 0.6%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 5.88%. Over the past 3 months, Total Credit YoY averaged 4.3%, vs 5.1% in the prior 3-month window. Total Credit YoY is now the lowest in 18 months.
Latest Release
3.9
Actual
4.5
Consensus
4.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.47 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 4.25
Actual: 3.9
Error: +0.35
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Total Credit YoY (Greece) was reported at 3.9% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 4.5% by 0.6%. The reading fell from the previous value of 4.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 5.91%, ranging from 3.9% to 7.8% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 4.33%, down from the prior three at 5.3%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.3%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.54%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Total Credit YoY has averaged 4.33%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.47%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 29, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
SHARE
Total Credit YoY - GR
Loading chart data...
About Total Credit YoY — Greece
DEFINITION
Total Credit YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the total amount of credit extended by financial institutions over a 12-month period. It provides insight into the overall growth or contraction of credit in an economy, which can impact consumer spending, business investment, and overall economic activity. This indicator is closely monitored by economists, policymakers, and investors as it can signal potential shifts in the financial landscape.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 3.9 %, consensus 4.5 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 4.4 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 4.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.