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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GreeceGreece Total Credit YoY fell to 3.4% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Greece Total Credit YoY fell to 3.4% in July 2026, released August 2026, down 1.6% from June's 5.0% reading. The reading missed the 4.9% consensus by 1.5%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 5.26%. Over the past 3 months, Total Credit YoY averaged 4.5%, vs 4.3% in the prior 3-month window. Total Credit YoY is now the lowest in 21 months.
Latest Release
3.4
Actual
4.9
Consensus
5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.47 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 5
Actual: 3.4
Error: +1.6
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Total Credit YoY (Greece) was reported at 3.4% in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 4.9% by 1.5%. The reading fell from the previous value of 5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 5.19%, ranging from 3.4% to 7.8% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4.33%, unchanged from the prior three. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.29%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 1.38%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Total Credit YoY has averaged 4.77%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.47%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 25, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Total Credit YoY - GR
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About Total Credit YoY — Greece
DEFINITION
Total Credit YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the total amount of credit extended by financial institutions over a 12-month period. It provides insight into the overall growth or contraction of credit in an economy, which can impact consumer spending, business investment, and overall economic activity. This indicator is closely monitored by economists, policymakers, and investors as it can signal potential shifts in the financial landscape.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 3.4 %, consensus 4.9 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 5 %. Before that (May 2026): 4.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - GR Events
| Monday, September 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | GR | Balance of Trade | -3.1 | -2.6 | -2.9 | -3.00 | Low |
| 09:00 | GR | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.35 | Low |
| 09:00 | GR | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.9 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.75 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | GR | Inflation Rate MoM | -1.4 | 0.3 | 0.05 | Low | |
| 09:00 | GR | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 2.9 | 2.90 | Low | |
| 09:00 | GR | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.35 | Low | |