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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CroatiaCroatia Producer Price Index YoY fell to 5.7% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Croatia Producer Price Index YoY fell to 5.7% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 1.0% from May's 6.7% reading. The reading missed the 6.4% consensus by 0.7%. Producer Price Index YoY has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 6.85%, vs 0.75% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 85th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
5.7
Actual
6.4
Consensus
6.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.91 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 5.8
Actual: 5.7
Error: +0.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Croatia) was reported at 5.7% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 6.4% by 0.7%. The reading fell from the previous value of 6.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.91%, ranging from -1.2% to 6.7% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4.43%, up from the prior three at 0.3%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.91%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 13, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - HR
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Croatia
DEFINITION
Croatia's Producer Price Index YoY for June came in at 5.700000%, missing the 6.400000% estimate and down from May's 6.700000%. The data shows a continued deceleration in producer price inflation, signaling easing cost pressures in the economy. Market participants will watch upcoming inflation reports closely for further guidance on monetary policy. Updated 7/11/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 5.7 %, consensus 6.4 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 6.7 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP, r=-0.43) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - HR Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | HR | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.9 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.15 | Low |
| 09:00 | HR | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.2 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 0.05 | Low |