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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CroatiaCroatia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 6.2% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Croatia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 6.2% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 1.3% from July's 4.9% reading. The print exceeded the 4.5% consensus by 1.7%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 2.79%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 5.3%, vs 5.63% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 87th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
6.2
Actual
4.5
Consensus
4.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.71 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 4.03
Actual: 6.2
Error: -2.17
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.39 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Croatia) was reported at 6.2% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 4.5% by 1.7%. The reading rose from the previous value of 4.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.83%, ranging from -1.2% to 6.7% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 5.6%, up from the prior three at 2.13%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.66%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.61%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.71%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 8, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - HR
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Croatia
DEFINITION
Croatia's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 6.200000% in September, beating the 4.500000% estimate and up from August's 4.900000%. This marks a significant acceleration in producer price inflation compared to the prior month. Market participants will watch for central bank responses amid this unexpected inflation surge. Updated 9/10/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 6.2 %, consensus 4.5 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 4.9 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 5.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP, r=-0.48) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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