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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CroatiaCroatia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 8.6% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Croatia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 8.6% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 2.4% from August's 6.2% reading. The print exceeded the 6.6% consensus by 2.0%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 5.55%, vs 6.47% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 19 months.
Latest Release
8.6
Actual
6.6
Consensus
6.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.91 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 6.62
Actual: 8.6
Error: -1.98
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Croatia) was reported at 8.6% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 6.6% by 2%. The reading rose from the previous value of 6.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.52%, ranging from -1.2% to 8.6% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 6.57%, up from the prior three at 4.43%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.13%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.66%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.91%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 11, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - HR
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Croatia
DEFINITION
Croatia's Producer Price Index YoY surged to 8.600000% in September, beating the 6.600000% estimate and rising sharply from August's 6.200000%. This marks a significant acceleration in producer price inflation, indicating stronger cost pressures in the economy. Market participants will watch upcoming inflation data closely as the central bank maintains a cautious stance. Updated 10/8/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 8.6 %, consensus 6.6 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 6.2 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 4.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - HR Events
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | HR | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.70 | Low | |
| 10:00 | HR | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | |