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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CroatiaCroatia Producer Price Index YoY fell to 6.7% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Croatia Producer Price Index YoY fell to 6.7% in May 2026, released June 2026, down 0.3% from April's 7.0% reading. The reading missed the 7.9% consensus by 1.2%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.62%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 5.1%, vs -0.07% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 91st percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
6.7
Actual
7.9
Consensus
7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.93 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 7.9
Actual: 6.7
Error: +1.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.25 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Croatia) was reported at 6.7% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 7.9% by 1.2%. The reading fell from the previous value of 7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.48%, ranging from -1.2% to 6.7% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.13%, up from the prior three at 1.13%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.93%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 10, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - HR
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Croatia
DEFINITION
Croatia's Producer Price Index YoY for June came in at 6.700000%, missing the 7.900000% estimate and down from May's 7.000000%. The slowdown from May to June signals easing inflationary pressures in producer prices. Market focus will remain on upcoming inflation data and central bank policy adjustments. Updated 6/12/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 6.7 %, consensus 7.9 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 7 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 3.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.46) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.