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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
HungaryHungary Core Inflation Rate YoY climbed to 2.0% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Hungary Core Inflation Rate YoY climbed to 2.0% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.1% from July's 1.9% reading. The reading matched expectations. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 2.89%. Over the past 3 months, Core Inflation Rate YoY averaged 1.95%, vs 2.03% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 15th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
2
Actual
2
Consensus
1.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.14 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 1.98
Actual: 2
Error: -0.02
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.56 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/HUF | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Core Inflation Rate YoY (Hungary) was reported at 2% in September 2026. This matched the market consensus of 2% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.87%, ranging from 1.9% to 4.2% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.97%, down from the prior three at 2.27%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.95%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.69%). In September readings over the past 3 years, Core Inflation Rate YoY has averaged 3.5%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/HUF, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.14%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 7, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Core Inflation Rate YoY - HU
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About Core Inflation Rate YoY — Hungary
DEFINITION
The Core Inflation Rate YoY is a key financial indicator that measures the change in prices of goods and services over a 12-month period, excluding volatile items such as food and energy. It provides a more accurate and stable representation of overall inflation trends, allowing businesses and policymakers to make informed decisions about economic policies and investments. This indicator is widely used by financial analysts and investors to assess the health of an economy and predict future inflation levels.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 2 %, consensus 2 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 1.9 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.56) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - HU Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | HU | Construction Output YoY | -12.2 | -1.2 | -0.5 | -6.35 | Low |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:30 | HU | Industrial Production YoY | 4.7 | 10.1 | 4.7 | 4.70 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:30 | HU | Gross Wage YoY | 7.1 | 6.9 | 6.65 | Low | |