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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
HungaryHungary HALPIM Manufacturing PMI fell to 50.2 in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Hungary HALPIM Manufacturing PMI fell to 50.2 in May 2026, released June 2026, down 0.2 from April's 50.4 reading. The reading matched the 51 consensus. Over the past 3 months, HALPIM Manufacturing PMI averaged 50.45, vs 51.43 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 43rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
50.2
Actual
51
Consensus
50.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.4
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 49.3
Actual: 50.2
Error: -0.9
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
HALPIM Manufacturing PMI (Hungary) was reported at 50.20 in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 51.00 by 0.80. The reading fell from the previous value of 50.40. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 51.04, ranging from 48.90 to 53.70 across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 50.63, down from the prior three at 52.13. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.48) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.11). In June readings over the past 3 years, HALPIM Manufacturing PMI has averaged 50.70.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/HUF (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.40.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 1, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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HALPIM Manufacturing PMI - HU
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About HALPIM Manufacturing PMI — Hungary
DEFINITION
HALPIM Manufacturing PMI is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the performance of the manufacturing sector in a specific country or region. It provides valuable insights into the overall economic health and growth potential of the manufacturing industry, based on factors such as production levels, new orders, employment, and supplier deliveries. This indicator is used by investors, businesses, and policymakers to make informed decisions and assess the current and future state of the manufacturing sector. With its timely and accurate data, HALPIM Manufacturing PMI is a crucial tool for monitoring and analyzing economic trends and developments.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 50.2, consensus 51. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 50.5. Before that (Mar 2026): 50.4.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/HUF (Bullish EUR, r=0.44) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.