Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
HungaryHungary HALPIM Manufacturing PMI fell to 51.3 in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Hungary HALPIM Manufacturing PMI fell to 51.3 in August 2026, released September 2026, down 0.1 from July's 51.4 reading. The reading matched the 51.5 consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 2.4. The reading is in the 77th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
51.3
Actual
51.5
Consensus
51.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.25
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 51.55
Actual: 51.3
Error: +0.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.44 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
HALPIM Manufacturing PMI (Hungary) was reported at 51.30 in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 51.50 by 0.20. The reading fell from the previous value of 51.40. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 51.35, ranging from 49.30 to 53.70 across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 50.97, up from the prior three at 50.33. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.28) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.98). In September readings over the past 3 years, HALPIM Manufacturing PMI has averaged 49.27.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.25.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 1, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
SHARE
HALPIM Manufacturing PMI - HU
Loading chart data...
About HALPIM Manufacturing PMI — Hungary
DEFINITION
HALPIM Manufacturing PMI is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the performance of the manufacturing sector in a specific country or region. It provides valuable insights into the overall economic health and growth potential of the manufacturing industry, based on factors such as production levels, new orders, employment, and supplier deliveries. This indicator is used by investors, businesses, and policymakers to make informed decisions and assess the current and future state of the manufacturing sector. With its timely and accurate data, HALPIM Manufacturing PMI is a crucial tool for monitoring and analyzing economic trends and developments.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 51.3, consensus 51.5. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 51.4. Before that (May 2026): 50.2.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.44) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - HU Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | HU | Industrial Production YoY | 4.7 | 10.1 | 4.7 | 4.70 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:30 | HU | Gross Wage YoY | 7.5 | 7.1 | 6.9 | 6.93 | Low |