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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
HungaryHungary Industrial Production YoY climbed to 10.1% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Hungary Industrial Production YoY climbed to 10.1% in June 2026, released August 2026, up 10.5% from May's -0.4% reading. The reading matched the 10.1% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.53%. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production YoY averaged 2.22%, vs 0.9% in the prior 3-month window. Industrial Production YoY is now the highest in 18 months.
Latest Release
10.1
Actual
10.1
Consensus
-0.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 10.48
Actual: 10.1
Error: +0.38
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/HUF | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Industrial Production YoY (Hungary) was reported at 10.1% in August 2026. This matched the market consensus of 10.1% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.18%, ranging from -7.3% to 10.1% across 21 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 6.6%, up from the prior three at 0.47%. Volatility over the past year (σ 4.65%) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.98%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Industrial Production YoY has averaged -1%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/HUF, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 7, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Industrial Production YoY - HU
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About Industrial Production YoY — Hungary
DEFINITION
Industrial Production YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors compared to the same period in the previous year. It provides valuable insights into the overall health and growth of the industrial sector, which is a key driver of economic activity. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can signal potential shifts in the economy and impact financial markets. A positive YoY growth in industrial production indicates a strong and expanding economy, while a negative growth may suggest a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2013): actual -5.4 %, consensus -5.4 %. Prior reading (Mar 2013): -1.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - HU Events
| Tuesday, August 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | HU | Interest Rate Decision | 5.5 | 5.75 | 5.5 | 5.50 | Low |
| 12:00 | HU | Deposit Interest Rate | 4.5 | 4.75 | 4.5 | 4.50 | Low |
| Thursday, August 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:30 | HU | Gross Wage YoY | 8.7 | 9 | 9.00 | Low | |
| Friday, August 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:30 | HU | Unemployment Rate | 4.5 | 4.3 | 4.40 | Low | |
| 06:30 | HU | Balance of Trade | 1305 | 1305 | 732.00 | Low | |
| 06:30 | HU | Balance of Trade MoM | 1305 | 1305 | 1305.00 | Low | |