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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndonesiaIndonesia Current Account fell to -12.5B in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Indonesia Current Account fell to -12.5B in April 2026, released August 2026, down 8.9B from March's -3.6B reading. The reading missed the -1.8B consensus by 10.7B. Current Account has now declined for 5 consecutive months. Current Account is now the lowest in 97 months.
Latest Release
-12.5
Actual
-1.8
Consensus
-3.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.55 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: -1.8
Actual: -12.5
Error: +10.7
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Current Account (Indonesia) was reported at -12.50 billion in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of -1.80 billion by 10.70 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of -3.60 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -6.33 billion, down from the prior three at 0.27 billion. In August readings over the past 3 years, Current Account has averaged -6.17 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.55 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 20, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Nov 2) and Balance of Trade (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Current Account - ID
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About Current Account — Indonesia
DEFINITION
The Current Account is a financial indicator that measures a country's trade balance, including the value of goods and services exported and imported, as well as income received and payments made to other countries. It provides insight into a nation's economic health and its ability to pay for imports and service its debt. A positive current account balance indicates a surplus, while a negative balance indicates a deficit. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and economists as it can impact a country's currency value and overall economic stability.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual -12.5 M, consensus -1.8 M. Prior reading (Jan 2026): -4 M. Before that (Oct 2025): -2.5 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - ID Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | ID | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.4 | 51.9 | 53.30 | Low | |
| 04:00 | ID | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.18 | Low | |
| 04:00 | ID | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.84 | 2.8 | 2.78 | Low | |
| 04:00 | ID | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.28 | 3.3 | 3.14 | Medium | |
| 04:00 | ID | Balance of Trade | 3.55 | 3.7 | 3.87 | Medium | |
| 05:00 | ID | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 6.27 | 1.42 | 1.42 | Low | |