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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndonesiaIndonesia Current Account fell to -12.5B in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Indonesia Current Account fell to -12.5B in April 2026, released August 2026, down 8.9B from March's -3.6B reading. The reading missed the -1.8B consensus by 10.7B. Current Account has now declined for 5 consecutive months. Current Account is now the lowest in 97 months.
Latest Release
-12.5
Actual
-1.8
Consensus
-3.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.55 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: -1.8
Actual: -12.5
Error: +10.7
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Current Account (Indonesia) was reported at -12.50 billion in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of -1.80 billion by 10.70 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of -3.60 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -6.33 billion, down from the prior three at 0.27 billion. In August readings over the past 3 years, Current Account has averaged -6.17 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.55 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Sep 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Current Account - ID
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About Current Account — Indonesia
DEFINITION
The Current Account is a financial indicator that measures a country's trade balance, including the value of goods and services exported and imported, as well as income received and payments made to other countries. It provides insight into a nation's economic health and its ability to pay for imports and service its debt. A positive current account balance indicates a surplus, while a negative balance indicates a deficit. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and economists as it can impact a country's currency value and overall economic stability.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual -12.5 M, consensus -1.8 M. Prior reading (Jan 2026): -4 M. Before that (Oct 2025): -2.5 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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