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Indonesia Inflation Rate MoM fell to 0.13 in April 2026, released May 2026, down 0.28 from March's 0.41 reading. The print came in cooler than the 0.8 consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated. Inflation Rate MoM has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Inflation Rate MoM averaged 0.55, vs 0.01 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 50th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
Apr 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
The May 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 0.41. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.24. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/IDR (Bullish USD).
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