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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndonesiaIndonesia Loan Growth YoY climbed to 9.98% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Indonesia Loan Growth YoY climbed to 9.98% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 0.49% from March's 9.49% reading. The reading matched the 9.7% consensus. Loan Growth YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Loan Growth YoY is now the highest in 13 months.
Latest Release
9.98
Actual
9.7
Consensus
9.49
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.37 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 9.61
Actual: 9.98
Error: -0.37
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Loan Growth YoY (Indonesia) was reported at 9.98% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 9.7% by 0.28%. The reading rose from the previous value of 9.49%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 8.29%, ranging from 7.03% to 9.98% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 9.77%, up from the prior three at 7.6%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.04%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 1.09%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Loan Growth YoY has averaged 10.65%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/IDR (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.37%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Loan Growth YoY - ID
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About Loan Growth YoY — Indonesia
DEFINITION
Loan Growth YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the amount of loans issued by a company or financial institution. It provides insight into the growth or decline of a company's lending activities and can be used to assess its overall financial health and performance. This indicator is commonly used by investors, analysts, and lenders to evaluate the strength and stability of a company's loan portfolio. A positive Loan Growth YoY indicates an increase in lending, while a negative value suggests a decrease.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 9.98 %, consensus 9.7 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 9.49 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 9.37 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/IDR (Bullish USD, r=0.48) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.