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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndonesiaIndonesia M2 Money Supply YoY fell to 9.2% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Indonesia M2 Money Supply YoY fell to 9.2% in April 2026, released May 2026, down 0.5% from March's 9.7% reading. The reading missed the 9.9% consensus by 0.7%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 7.69%. The reading is in the 88th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
9.2
Actual
9.9
Consensus
9.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.2 percentage points
across last 4 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 9.9
Actual: 9.2
Error: +0.7
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
M2 Money Supply YoY (Indonesia) was reported at 10.8% in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 9.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 8.53%, ranging from 6.5% to 10.8% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 9.57%, up from the prior three at 8.67%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.24%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.92%). In June readings over the past 3 years, M2 Money Supply YoY has averaged 7.77%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 21, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Aug 3) and Inflation Rate YoY (Aug 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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M2 Money Supply YoY - ID
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About M2 Money Supply YoY — Indonesia
DEFINITION
M2 Money Supply YoY is a financial indicator that measures the annual change in the amount of money in circulation in an economy. It includes all physical currency, checking and savings deposits, and other liquid assets. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and investors as it provides insight into the overall health and growth of an economy. A higher M2 Money Supply YoY can indicate increased economic activity and potential inflation, while a lower reading may suggest a slowing economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 10.8 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 10.8 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 9.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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