Loading page content
Loading page content
Ireland AIB Services PMI fell to 50.7 in March 2026, released April 2026, down 1.1 from February's 51.8 reading. The reading matched the 51.5 consensus. AIB Services PMI has now declined for 5 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, AIB Services PMI averaged 53.15, vs 56.67 in the prior 3-month window. AIB Services PMI is now the lowest in 6 months.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.63 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
AIB Services PMI (Ireland) was reported at 50.70 in April 2026. This missed the market consensus of 51.50 by 0.80. The reading fell from the previous value of 51.80. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 53.91, ranging from 50.60 to 58.50 across 8 releases.
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 53.70, down from the prior three at 56.23. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.61) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.88). In March readings over the past 3 years, AIB Services PMI has averaged 53.13.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.95.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
The AIB Services PMI is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the performance of the services sector in Ireland. It provides valuable insights into the current economic climate and future trends, helping businesses and investors make informed decisions. The index is based on a survey of purchasing managers in the services industry, and a reading above 50 indicates expansion, while a reading below 50 indicates contraction. With its timely and accurate data, the AIB Services PMI is a crucial tool for monitoring the health of the Irish economy.
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Mar 2026): actual 50.7, consensus 51.5. Prior reading (Feb 2026): 51.8. Before that (Jan 2026): 54.5.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bullish USD, r=0.63) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | Balance of Trade | 4 | 6.5 | 6.50 | Low | ||
| 10:00 | Residential Property Prices MoM | 0 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | ||
| 10:00 | Residential Property Prices YoY | 6.5 | 6.3 | 6.25 | Low | ||