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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IrelandIreland Average Weekly Earnings YoY climbed to 4.4% in January 2026
FMPWeeklyReleased May 2026
Ireland Average Weekly Earnings YoY climbed to 4.4% in January 2026, released May 2026, up 1.3% from December's 3.1% reading. The print exceeded the 3.4% consensus by 1.0%. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 1.2%.
Latest Release
4.4
Actual
3.4
Consensus
3.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1 percentage points
across last 11 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 3.4
Actual: 4.4
Error: -1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Average Weekly Earnings YoY (Ireland) was reported at 4.4% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 3.4% by 1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4.13%, down from the prior three at 5.5%. In May readings over the past 3 years, Average Weekly Earnings YoY has averaged 4.9%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 11 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Average Weekly Earnings YoY - IE
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About Average Weekly Earnings YoY — Ireland
DEFINITION
Average Weekly Earnings YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in average weekly earnings of employees over a 12-month period. This indicator provides insight into the overall trend of wage growth and can be used to assess the health of the labor market and the purchasing power of consumers. It is a key metric for businesses and policymakers to monitor in order to make informed decisions about wages, inflation, and economic growth.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released weekly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 4.4 %, consensus 3.4 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): 3.1 %. Before that (Jul 2025): 4.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.