Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IrelandIreland Balance of Trade fell to 4 in March 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Ireland Balance of Trade fell to 4 in March 2026, released May 2026, down 0.1 from February's 4.1 reading. The reading missed the 9.5 consensus by 5.5. Balance of Trade has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Balance of Trade averaged 4.1, vs 8.96 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 10th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
4
Actual
9.5
Consensus
4.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.09 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 5.77
Actual: 4.8
Error: +0.96
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The May 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 4.1. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±2.09. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC) and positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP).
SHARE
Balance of Trade - IE
Loading chart data...
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - IE Events
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | IE | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.65 | Low |
| 10:00 | IE | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.45 | Low |
| 10:00 | IE | HICP YoY | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.60 | Low |
| 10:00 | IE | HICP MoM | 0.5 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.45 | Low |
| 10:00 | IE | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.60 | Low |
| 10:00 | IE | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.45 | Low |
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | IE | Balance of Trade | 4 | 4.1 | 9.5 | 6.75 | Low |