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Ireland Balance of Trade fell to 4 in March 2026, released May 2026, down 0.1 from February's 4.1 reading. The reading missed the 9.5 consensus by 5.5. Balance of Trade has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Balance of Trade averaged 4.1, vs 8.96 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 10th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The May 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 4.1. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±2.09. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC) and positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.65 | Low | |
| 10:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.45 | Low | |
| 10:00 | HICP YoY | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.60 | Low | |
| 10:00 | HICP MoM | 0.5 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.45 | Low | |
| 10:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.60 | Low | |
| 10:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.45 | Low | |
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | Balance of Trade | 4 | 4.1 | 9.5 | 6.75 | Low | |