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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IrelandIreland Wholesale Prices YoY climbed to 7.4% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Ireland Wholesale Prices YoY climbed to 7.4% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 0.9% from August's 6.5% reading. The reading matched the 7.4% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -0.42%. Over the past 3 months, Wholesale Prices YoY averaged 6.9%, vs 2.17% in the prior 3-month window. Wholesale Prices YoY is now the highest in 37 months.
Latest Release
7.4
Actual
7.4
Consensus
6.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.89 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 7.85
Actual: 7.4
Error: +0.45
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.51 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.47 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Wholesale Prices YoY (Ireland) was reported at 7.4% in October 2026. This matched the market consensus of 7.4% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 6.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.82%, ranging from -5.5% to 7.4% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 7.07%, up from the prior three at 2.17%. Volatility over the past year (σ 5.08%) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.44%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Wholesale Prices YoY has averaged 1.07%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.89%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 23, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Wholesale Prices YoY - IE
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About Wholesale Prices YoY — Ireland
DEFINITION
Wholesale Prices YoY is a financial indicator that measures the annual change in the prices of goods sold in bulk by manufacturers and wholesalers. It provides valuable insights into the overall inflationary pressures in the economy and is closely monitored by businesses, policymakers, and investors to make informed decisions. A positive YoY change indicates an increase in wholesale prices, while a negative change suggests a decrease. This indicator is an important tool for assessing the health of the economy and predicting future trends in consumer prices.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 7.4 %, consensus 7.4 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 6.5 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 7.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bullish USD, r=0.51) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - IE Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:01 | IE | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 55.5 | 55 | 55.00 | Low | |
| 23:01 | IE | Consumer Confidence | 61.1 | 60 | 60.00 | Low | |
| Tuesday, November 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | IE | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.8 | 3.9 | 3.90 | Low | |
| 11:00 | IE | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | |
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:01 | IE | S&P Global Services PMI | 54.1 | 53.4 | 53.75 | Low | |
| 11:00 | IE | Unemployment Rate | 5 | 5.1 | 5.10 | Low | |