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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IsraelIsrael Inflation Expectations climbed to 1.7% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Israel Inflation Expectations climbed to 1.7% in May 2026, up 0.1% from April's 1.6% reading. The reading missed the 1.9% consensus by 0.2%. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 0.1%. Over the past 3 months, Inflation Expectations averaged 1.65%, vs 1.5% in the prior 3-month window. Inflation Expectations is now the highest in 6 months.
Latest Release
1.7
Actual
1.9
Consensus
1.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.18 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 1.9
Actual: 1.7
Error: +0.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.61 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Inflation Expectations (Israel) was reported at 1.7% in May 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1.9% by 0.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.67%, ranging from 1.5% to 1.9% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.57%, down from the prior three at 1.73%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.13%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.47%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Inflation Expectations has averaged 2.17%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.18%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Inflation Expectations - IL
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About Inflation Expectations — Israel
DEFINITION
Inflation expectations refer to the anticipated rate of increase in the overall price level of goods and services in an economy. This financial indicator is closely monitored by economists, investors, and policymakers as it can impact consumer spending, interest rates, and overall economic growth. By analyzing inflation expectations, individuals and organizations can make informed decisions about their investments and financial planning.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 1.7 %, consensus 1.9 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 1.6 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 1.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP, r=-0.61) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.