Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IsraelIsrael Inflation Expectations fell to 1.4% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Israel Inflation Expectations fell to 1.4% in August 2026, down 0.1% from July's 1.5% reading. The reading missed the 1.6% consensus by 0.2%. Inflation Expectations has now declined for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Inflation Expectations averaged 1.6%, vs 1.65% in the prior 3-month window. Inflation Expectations is now the lowest in 33 months.
Latest Release
1.4
Actual
1.6
Consensus
1.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.16 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 1.55
Actual: 1.4
Error: +0.15
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Inflation Expectations (Israel) was reported at 1.4% in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1.6% by 0.2%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.6%, ranging from 1.4% to 1.9% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.5%, down from the prior three at 1.57%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.14%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.49%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Inflation Expectations has averaged 1.78%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.16%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 23, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
SHARE
Inflation Expectations - IL
Loading chart data...
About Inflation Expectations — Israel
DEFINITION
Inflation expectations refer to the anticipated rate of increase in the overall price level of goods and services in an economy. This financial indicator is closely monitored by economists, investors, and policymakers as it can impact consumer spending, interest rates, and overall economic growth. By analyzing inflation expectations, individuals and organizations can make informed decisions about their investments and financial planning.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 1.4 %, consensus 1.6 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 1.5 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 1.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.42) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - IL Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | IL | Imports | 11138.4 | 9694.6 | 8200 | 9669.20 | Low |
| 10:00 | IL | Balance of Trade | -5794.4 | -4227.3 | -2700 | -4247.20 | Low |
| 10:00 | IL | Exports | 5344 | 5467.3 | 5500 | 5422.00 | Low |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | IL | Unemployment Rate | 3.1 | 3 | 2.95 | Low | |
| 15:30 | IL | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.45 | Low | |
| 15:30 | IL | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.45 | Low | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | IL | GDP Growth Annualized | 15.4 | -2.2 | 15.4 | 15.28 | Low |
| 10:00 | IL | Current Account | -0.107 | -0.3 | 0.15 | Low | |