Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IsraelIsrael Inflation Expectations climbed to 1.7% in October 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Israel Inflation Expectations climbed to 1.7% in October 2026, up 0.1% from September's 1.6% reading. The print exceeded the 1.4% consensus by 0.3%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.57%. Over the past 3 months, Inflation Expectations averaged 1.35%, vs 1.6% in the prior 3-month window. Inflation Expectations is now the highest in 11 months.
Latest Release
1.7
Actual
1.4
Consensus
1.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.21 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 1.28
Actual: 1.7
Error: -0.43
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.55 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Inflation Expectations (Israel) was reported at 1.7% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.4% by 0.3%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.53%, ranging from 1.3% to 1.7% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.47%, down from the prior three at 1.6%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.12%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.33%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Inflation Expectations has averaged 2.27%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.21%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 20, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
SHARE
Inflation Expectations - IL
Loading chart data...
About Inflation Expectations — Israel
DEFINITION
Inflation expectations refer to the anticipated rate of increase in the overall price level of goods and services in an economy. This financial indicator is closely monitored by economists, investors, and policymakers as it can impact consumer spending, interest rates, and overall economic growth. By analyzing inflation expectations, individuals and organizations can make informed decisions about their investments and financial planning.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 1.7 %, consensus 1.4 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 1.3 %. Before that (Aug 2026): 1.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP, r=-0.55) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - IL Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | IL | Inflation Expectations | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.55 | Low |