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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IsraelIsrael Inflation Rate MoM climbed to 1.2% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Israel Inflation Rate MoM climbed to 1.2% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 0.8% from March's 0.4% reading. The print came in hotter than the 0.5% consensus, a hotter print than forecasters anticipated. Inflation Rate MoM has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Inflation Rate MoM averaged 0.1%, vs -0.25% in the prior 3-month window. Inflation Rate MoM is now the highest in 36 months.
Latest Release
1.2
Actual
0.5
Consensus
0.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.22 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 0.4
Actual: 1.2
Error: -0.8
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.79 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.55 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Inflation Rate MoM (Israel) was reported at 1.2% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.5% by 0.7%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.15%, ranging from -0.6% to 1.2% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.37%, up from the prior three at 0%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.52%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.49%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Inflation Rate MoM has averaged 1.03%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.22%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 15, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Inflation Rate MoM - IL
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About Inflation Rate MoM — Israel
DEFINITION
The Inflation Rate MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the percentage change in the overall price level of goods and services in a given economy from one month to the next. It is a key measure of inflation and provides insight into the rate at which prices are rising or falling, which can impact consumer purchasing power and overall economic stability. This indicator is closely monitored by economists, policymakers, and investors to assess the health of an economy and make informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1.2 %, consensus 0.5 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 0.4 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 0.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.79) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.