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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IsraelIsrael Manufacturing Production MoM climbed to 4.7% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Israel Manufacturing Production MoM climbed to 4.7% in August 2026, released October 2026, up 4.9% from July's -0.2% reading. The print exceeded the 0.1% consensus by 4.6%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.77%. Over the past 3 months, Manufacturing Production MoM averaged -0.3%, vs 3.42% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 75th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
4.7
Actual
0.1
Consensus
-0.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±7.31 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: -2.07
Actual: 4.7
Error: -6.77
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Manufacturing Production MoM (Israel) was reported at 4.7% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.1% by 4.6%. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.66%, ranging from -18.1% to 29.8% across 12 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.43%, down from the prior three at 7.7%. Volatility over the past year (σ 10.64%) is higher than the prior year (σ 4.87%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 7.31%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 26, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Manufacturing Production MoM - IL
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About Manufacturing Production MoM — Israel
DEFINITION
Manufacturing Production MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of goods produced by the manufacturing sector in a given month. This indicator provides valuable insights into the health and performance of the manufacturing industry, which is a crucial component of a country's overall economic growth. A positive change in Manufacturing Production MoM indicates an increase in production and can be seen as a sign of economic expansion, while a negative change may signal a decline in manufacturing activity. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts to make informed decisions and forecasts about the state of the economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 4.7 %, consensus 0.1 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): -0.2 %. Before that (Jun 2026): -0.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IL Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | IL | Inflation Expectations | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.55 | Low |