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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ItalyItaly Industrial Sales MoM fell to -1.0% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Italy Industrial Sales MoM fell to -1.0% in June 2026, released August 2026, down 1.5% from May's 0.5% reading. The reading missed the -0.3% consensus by 0.7%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.51%. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Sales MoM averaged 0.45%, vs 0.77% in the prior 3-month window. Industrial Sales MoM is now the lowest in 12 months.
Latest Release
-1
Actual
-0.3
Consensus
0.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.56 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 0.27
Actual: -1
Error: +1.27
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.42 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.39 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Industrial Sales MoM (Italy) was reported at -1% in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of -0.3% by 0.7%. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.3%, ranging from -1% to 2.1% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.03%, down from the prior three at 0.73%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.96%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.72%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Industrial Sales MoM has averaged 0.1%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with Euro STOXX 50 (Bearish Euro STOXX 50). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, negatively correlated (Bearish DAX). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.56%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 29, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Sep 15) and Balance of Trade (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Industrial Sales MoM - IT
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About Industrial Sales MoM — Italy
DEFINITION
Industrial Sales MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key financial indicator that measures the change in sales of goods produced by industrial companies over a one-month period. This indicator provides valuable insights into the current state of the industrial sector and can help investors and analysts make informed decisions about the overall health of the economy. A positive MoM growth in industrial sales indicates a strong demand for goods, while a negative growth may signal a slowdown in economic activity.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -1 %, consensus -0.3 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 0.6 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 0.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Euro STOXX 50 (Bearish Euro STOXX 50, r=-0.42) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - IT Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | IT | Balance of Trade | 4.232 | 4.77 | 4.32 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | IT | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | -1 | 0.1 | 0.07 | Low |
| 08:00 | IT | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.2 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 3.18 | Low |
| 08:00 | IT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low |
| 08:00 | IT | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low |