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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ItalyItaly Industrial Sales YoY climbed to 5.3% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Italy Industrial Sales YoY climbed to 5.3% in May 2026, released July 2026, up 2.6% from April's 2.7% reading. The print exceeded the 2.7% consensus by 2.6%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.28%. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Sales YoY averaged 3.8%, vs 1.03% in the prior 3-month window. Industrial Sales YoY is now the highest in 35 months.
Latest Release
5.3
Actual
2.7
Consensus
2.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.19 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 3.73
Actual: 5.3
Error: -1.57
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.82 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.76 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.66 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.64 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Industrial Sales YoY (Italy) was reported at 5.3% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 2.7% by 2.6%. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2%, ranging from -1% to 5.3% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4.3%, up from the prior three at 0.87%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.99%) is lower than the prior year (σ 2.57%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Industrial Sales YoY has averaged -0.43%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100). A secondary relationship exists with Euro STOXX 50, negatively correlated (Bearish Euro STOXX 50). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.19%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 28, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug 3) and Retail Sales MoM (Aug 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Industrial Sales YoY - IT
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About Industrial Sales YoY — Italy
DEFINITION
Industrial Sales YoY (Year over Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in sales of industrial goods and services over a 12-month period. It provides insight into the overall performance of the industrial sector and can be used to assess the strength of the economy. A positive YoY growth indicates an increase in demand for industrial products, while a negative growth may suggest a slowdown in economic activity. This indicator is commonly used by investors, analysts, and policymakers to make informed decisions and monitor the health of the industrial sector.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 5.3 %, consensus 2.7 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 3.2 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 4.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100, r=-0.82) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - IT Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | IT | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.85 | Low |
| 08:00 | IT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.15 | High |
| 08:00 | IT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.85 | High |
| 08:00 | IT | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.15 | Low |
| 09:00 | IT | Unemployment Rate | 5.7 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 5.40 | Medium |
| 10:00 | IT | Producer Price Index YoY | 5.8 | 7.3 | 5.4 | 5.60 | Low |
| 10:00 | IT | Producer Price Index MoM | 0 | -0.2 | -0.4 | -0.20 | Low |
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | IT | Business Confidence | 89.6 | 88.6 | 88.9 | 89.25 | Medium |
| 08:00 | IT | Consumer Confidence | 94.2 | 92.4 | 92.5 | 93.35 | Medium |