Jordan Inflation Rate YoY: February 2026 Data and Market Implications
Jordan's headline inflation rate rose modestly in February, extending a period of muted price pressures. The latest data offers a nuanced view of underlying trends and policy context.
Table of Contents
Big-Picture Snapshot
Drivers this month
- Food prices: +0.22pp
- Transport: +0.13pp
- Housing: +0.09pp
- Clothing: -0.04pp
Policy pulse
February's 1.17% reading remains well below the Central Bank of Jordan's informal 2% comfort zone. Policymakers continue to monitor imported inflation and regional supply chain risks.
Market lens
JOD-denominated bonds saw muted movement after the release. Investors interpreted the data as confirmation of stable price dynamics, with no immediate pressure for monetary tightening. The inflation trend supports a steady policy stance, reinforcing the dinar's relative stability against major currencies.Foundational Indicators
Historical context
- February 2026: 1.17%
- January 2026: 1.06%
- December 2025: 1.28%
- November 2025: 2.00%
- August 2025: 1.68%
- July 2025: 2.02%
Comparative lens
February's print is 0.37 percentage points below the 12-month average of 1.54%. The last time inflation exceeded 2% was in July 2025. Since then, headline inflation has trended downward, with only a brief uptick in November. The current level is less than half the peak seen in July.
Methodology and source
Figures are sourced from the Department of Statistics Jordan and cross-verified with the Sigmanomics database[1]. The inflation rate reflects the year-over-year change in the consumer price index, based on a representative basket of goods and services.
Chart Dynamics
Forward Outlook
Scenario analysis
- Bullish (15–25%): A sustained drop below 1% if global commodity prices ease further and domestic demand softens.
- Base case (60–70%): Inflation stabilizes between 1.0% and 1.3% over the next quarter, barring external shocks.
- Bearish (10–20%): A rebound toward 1.7% if energy or food import costs spike unexpectedly.
Risks and catalysts
Upside risks include renewed supply chain disruptions and regional geopolitical tensions. Downside risks stem from subdued domestic consumption and a stable dinar. The balance of risks currently favors a continuation of modest inflation.
Data caveats
All figures reflect official releases as of March 13, 2026. Any revisions will be incorporated in subsequent updates.
Closing Thoughts
Market lens
Local equities and fixed income markets registered little reaction to the February inflation data. The muted response underscores investor confidence in the central bank's policy stance and the credibility of Jordan's inflation management. With price growth contained, the macro backdrop remains supportive for both consumers and businesses.Key Markets Reacting to Inflation Rate YoY
Jordan's inflation data influences a range of asset classes, from global equities to major currency pairs. The following symbols have shown sensitivity to shifts in headline inflation, reflecting both direct and indirect economic linkages.
- AAPL: Apple shares often react to global inflation prints, as input costs and consumer demand shift.
- EURUSD: The euro-dollar pair reflects relative inflation trends and central bank policy divergence.
- BTCUSD: Bitcoin's price often responds to inflation surprises as investors seek alternative stores of value.
| Year | Inflation Rate YoY (%) | AAPL (YoY % Change) |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 0.3 | 80.7 |
| 2021 | 1.4 | 34.0 |
| 2022 | 4.2 | -26.8 |
| 2023 | 2.7 | 48.1 |
| 2024 | 1.8 | 49.0 |
| 2025 | 1.7 | 18.2 |
Since 2020, AAPL's annual performance has shown some correlation with global inflation cycles, with stronger gains during periods of moderate inflation and weaker returns amid inflation spikes.
FAQ
- What is the current Inflation Rate YoY for Jordan?
- As of February 2026, Jordan's annual inflation rate stands at 1.17%, up from 1.06% in January.
- How does the February 2026 inflation figure compare to recent months?
- February's rate is below the 12-month average of 1.54% and well under the July 2025 peak of 2.02%.
- What are the main drivers of inflation in Jordan this month?
- Food and transport costs contributed most to February's inflation, while clothing prices provided a slight offset.
Jordan's inflation rate remains contained, supporting a stable policy and market environment.
Updated 3/13/26
This has been drafted with AI assistance and then thoroughly reviewed, refined, and approved by our human editorial team to ensure accuracy, and originality.
- Department of Statistics Jordan; Sigmanomics Economic Database, accessed March 13, 2026.
February's 1.17% inflation rate marks a slight increase from January's 1.06%, but remains below the 12-month average of 1.54%. Over the past six months, inflation has ranged from a low of 1.06% to a high of 2.00%.
Monthly momentum has been subdued, with only minor fluctuations since November. The latest uptick is modest and does not signal a reversal of the broader disinflationary trend observed since mid-2025.