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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
KyrgyzstanKyrgyzstan Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 11.9% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Kyrgyzstan Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 11.9% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.3% from May's 12.2% reading. The reading matched the 12.0% consensus. Gross Domestic Product YoY has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Gross Domestic Product YoY averaged 12.3%, vs 9.75% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 76th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
11.9
Actual
12
Consensus
12.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.9 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 12.78
Actual: 11.9
Error: +0.88
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.25 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Kyrgyzstan) was reported at 11.9% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 12% by 0.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 12.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 10.74%, ranging from 8.8% to 12.4% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 12.17%, up from the prior three at 9.63%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.17%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.87%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.9%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - KG
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Kyrgyzstan
DEFINITION
Kyrgyzstan's Gross Domestic Product YoY came in at 11.900000% for June, slightly missing the 12.000000% estimate. This marks a decline from May's 12.200000%, indicating a modest slowdown in annual growth. The data suggests continued economic expansion but at a decelerating pace as the country awaits further policy signals. Updated 7/15/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 11.9 %, consensus 12 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 12.2 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 12.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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