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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
KyrgyzstanKyrgyzstan Interest Rate Decision held to 12.0% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased April 2026
Kyrgyzstan Interest Rate Decision held to 12.0% in April 2026. The reading matched the 12.0% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 9.85%. Interest Rate Decision is now the highest in 24 months.
Latest Release
12
Actual
12
Consensus
12
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.13 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Feb 2026
Predicted: 10.5
Actual: 12
Error: -1.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Interest Rate Decision (Kyrgyzstan) was reported at 12% in May 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 10.66%, ranging from 9% to 12% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 11.67%, up from the prior three at 10.67%. In May readings over the past 3 years, Interest Rate Decision has averaged 10%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.13%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Interest Rate Decision - KG
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About Interest Rate Decision — Kyrgyzstan
DEFINITION
The Interest Rate Decision is a key financial indicator that reflects the decision made by a central bank or monetary authority to either increase, decrease, or maintain the current interest rates. This decision has a significant impact on the economy, as it affects the cost of borrowing money, inflation rates, and overall economic growth. Investors and businesses closely monitor interest rate decisions as they can have a significant impact on financial markets and investment strategies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 12 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 12 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 12 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.52) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.