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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
KuwaitKuwait Bank Lending YoY fell to 6.43% in September 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased November 2025
Kuwait Bank Lending YoY fell to 6.43% in September 2025, released November 2025, down 0.12% from August's 6.55% reading. The print exceeded the 3.6% consensus by 2.83%. Bank Lending YoY has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Bank Lending YoY averaged 6.62%, vs 6.17% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 62nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
6.43
Actual
3.6
Consensus
6.55
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.87 percentage points
across last 3 releases
Last Call
Nov 2025
Predicted: 3.6
Actual: 6.43
Error: -2.83
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.53 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Bank Lending YoY (Kuwait) was reported at 5.97% in May 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 7.29%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 6.73%, ranging from 5.97% to 7.61% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 6.88%, down from the prior three at 6.95%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish USD).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Bank Lending YoY - KW
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About Bank Lending YoY — Kuwait
DEFINITION
Bank lending YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the annual change in the amount of loans and credit extended by banks. It is a key metric used to assess the overall health of the banking sector and the availability of credit in the economy. A positive YoY growth in bank lending indicates a growing economy, while a negative growth may signal a slowdown. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts to gauge the strength of the financial system and its impact on economic growth.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 5.97 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 7.29 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 7.29 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.53) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.