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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
KazakhstanKazakhstan Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 5.1% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Kazakhstan Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 5.1% in June 2026, released July 2026, up 0.8% from May's 4.3% reading. The print exceeded the 4.0% consensus by 1.1%. Gross Domestic Product YoY has now risen for 6 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Gross Domestic Product YoY averaged 3.95%, vs 0.13% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 33rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
5.1
Actual
4
Consensus
4.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.31 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 4.28
Actual: 5.1
Error: -0.82
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.65 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Kazakhstan) was reported at 5.1% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 4% by 1.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 4.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 5.75%, ranging from -2.8% to 9.6% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 4.33%, up from the prior three at 2.27%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.98%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.58%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bearish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.31%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - KZ
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Kazakhstan
DEFINITION
Kazakhstan's Gross Domestic Product YoY rose to 5.100000% in June, beating the 4.000000% estimate and up from May's 4.300000%. This marks a continued acceleration in economic growth after a steady increase from April's 3.0% and May's 3.6%. The stronger-than-expected June reading supports a positive outlook amid stable market conditions and upcoming monetary policy reviews. Updated 7/15/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 5.1 %, consensus 4 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 4.3 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 3.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bearish USD, r=-0.65) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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