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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
KazakhstanKazakhstan Producer Price Index YoY fell to 5.6% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Kazakhstan Producer Price Index YoY fell to 5.6% in August 2026, released September 2026, down 3.5% from July's 9.1% reading. The reading missed the 7.5% consensus by 1.9%. Producer Price Index YoY has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 13.15%, vs 11.53% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the lowest in 6 months.
Latest Release
5.6
Actual
7.5
Consensus
9.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.83 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 6.58
Actual: 5.6
Error: +0.98
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.55 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Kazakhstan) was reported at 5.6% in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 7.5% by 1.9%. The reading fell from the previous value of 9.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 8.42%, ranging from 3.9% to 17.2% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 10.63%, up from the prior three at 8.8%. Volatility over the past year (σ 4.39%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.44%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.83%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 12, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - KZ
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Kazakhstan
DEFINITION
Kazakhstan's Producer Price Index YoY came in at 5.600000% for September, missing the 7.500000% estimate and down from August's 9.100000%. This marks a continued deceleration in producer price inflation from the prior month. Market focus will remain on central bank policy amid easing inflation pressures. Updated 9/10/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 5.6 %, consensus 7.5 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 9.1 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 17.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bearish USD, r=-0.55) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - KZ Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:50 | KZ | Industrial Production YoY | 1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.05 | Low |