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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Sri LankaSri Lanka Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 5.0% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Sri Lanka Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 5.0% in July 2026, released August 2026, up 0.9% from June's 4.1% reading. The print exceeded the 1.6% consensus by 3.4%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.07%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 2.05%, vs 1.1% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 18 months.
Latest Release
5
Actual
1.6
Consensus
4.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.41 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 1.25
Actual: 5
Error: -3.75
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.67 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Sri Lanka) was reported at 5% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.6% by 3.4%. The reading rose from the previous value of 4.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.67%, ranging from -0.5% to 5% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.03%, up from the prior three at 2.4%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.62%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 1.72%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.41%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 30, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - LK
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Sri Lanka
DEFINITION
Sri Lanka's Producer Price Index YoY surged to 5.000000% in August, sharply beating the 1.600000% estimate and rising from July's 1.300000%. This marks a significant acceleration in producer price inflation, indicating mounting cost pressures in the economy. Market participants will closely watch upcoming inflation data and central bank responses amid this unexpected jump. Updated 8/31/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 5 %, consensus 1.6 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 1.3 %. Before that (May 2026): 2.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.67) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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