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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LithuaniaLithuania Current Account fell to -267.8M in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Lithuania Current Account fell to -267.8M in May 2026, released July 2026, down 364M from April's 96.2M reading. The reading missed the 75M consensus by 342.8M. Current Account has now declined for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Current Account averaged 198.33M, vs 351.38M in the prior 3-month window. Current Account is now the lowest in 30 months.
Latest Release
-267.8
Actual
75
Consensus
96.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±265.84 million
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 97.1
Actual: -267.8
Error: +364.9
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.41 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Current Account (Lithuania) was reported at -267.80 million in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 75.00 million by 342.80 million. The reading fell from the previous value of 96.20 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 206.23 million, ranging from -267.80 million to 527.71 million across 14 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -56.67 million, down from the prior three at 385.28 million. Volatility over the past year (σ 257.43 million) is higher than the prior year (σ 188.03 million). In July readings over the past 3 years, Current Account has averaged 38.07 million.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Bearish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 265.84 million.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 13, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Current Account - LT
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About Current Account — Lithuania
DEFINITION
The Current Account is a financial indicator that measures a country's trade balance, including the value of goods and services exported and imported, as well as income received and payments made to other countries. It provides insight into a nation's economic health and its ability to pay for imports and service its debt. A positive current account balance indicates a surplus, while a negative balance indicates a deficit. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and economists as it can impact a country's currency value and overall economic stability.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual -267.8 M, consensus 75 M. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 1.6 M. Before that (Apr 2026): 96.2 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.41) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - LT Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | LT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.7 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.95 | Low |
| 06:00 | LT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 4.1 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 3.20 | Low |