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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LithuaniaLithuania Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 2.3% in January 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Lithuania Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 2.3% in January 2026, released June 2026, down 1.0% from December's 3.3% reading. The print exceeded the 2.1% consensus by 0.2%. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 0.7%.
Latest Release
2.3
Actual
2.1
Consensus
3.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.25 percentage points
across last 6 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 2.1
Actual: 2.3
Error: -0.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Lithuania) was reported at 2.3% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 2.1% by 0.2%. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.76%, ranging from -3% to 3.1% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.83%, up from the prior three at 2.27%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 6 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.25%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - LT
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Lithuania
DEFINITION
Lithuania's Gross Domestic Product YoY rose 2.300000% in April, beating the 2.100000% estimate but down from March's 3.100000%. The slowdown signals a deceleration in economic growth compared to the previous month. Market focus remains on upcoming data releases and central bank policy adjustments amid this cooling trend. Updated 6/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 2.3 %, consensus 2.1 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 2.1 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 3.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.