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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LithuaniaLithuania Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 4.1% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Lithuania Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 4.1% in April 2026, released September 2026, up 1.8% from March's 2.3% reading. The reading matched the 4.1% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 2.39%. Gross Domestic Product YoY is now the highest in 18 months.
Latest Release
4.1
Actual
4.1
Consensus
2.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.2 percentage points
across last 7 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 4.1
Actual: 4.1
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.54 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.52 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Lithuania) was reported at 4.1% in September 2026. This matched the market consensus of 4.1% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.91%, ranging from 1.7% to 4.1% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.5%, up from the prior three at 2.73%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 7 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.2%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - LT
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Lithuania
DEFINITION
Lithuania's Gross Domestic Product YoY for July came in at 4.100000%, matching estimates and up from June's 2.3%. This marks a significant acceleration in economic growth, indicating robust expansion compared to the prior month. Market participants will watch upcoming data for confirmation of this momentum amid stable central bank policy. Updated 9/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 4.1 %, consensus 4.1 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 4.1 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 2.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP, r=0.54) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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