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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LithuaniaLithuania Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 4.1% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Lithuania Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 4.1% in April 2026, released September 2026, up 1.8% from March's 2.3% reading. The reading matched the 4.1% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 2.39%. Gross Domestic Product YoY is now the highest in 18 months.
Latest Release
4.1
Actual
4.1
Consensus
2.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.2 percentage points
across last 7 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 4.1
Actual: 4.1
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Lithuania) was reported at 1.8% in October 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 4.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.93%, ranging from 1.8% to 4.1% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.33%, up from the prior three at 2.83%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.87%) is lower than the prior year (σ 2.33%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 7 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.2%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - LT
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Lithuania
DEFINITION
Lithuania's Gross Domestic Product YoY for September registered at 1.800000%, down sharply from August's 4.100000%, signaling a significant slowdown in economic growth. This contraction contrasts with prior months' stronger expansions, reflecting weakening momentum in the economy. Market participants will closely watch upcoming data and central bank communications for guidance amid this deceleration. Updated 10/30/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 1.8 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 4.1 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 4.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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