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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LithuaniaLithuania Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 2.3% in January 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Lithuania Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 2.3% in January 2026, released June 2026, down 1.0% from December's 3.3% reading. The print exceeded the 2.1% consensus by 0.2%. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 0.7%.
Latest Release
2.3
Actual
2.1
Consensus
3.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.25 percentage points
across last 6 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 2.1
Actual: 2.3
Error: -0.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Lithuania) was reported at 4.1% in July 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.77%, ranging from 1.7% to 4.1% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.17%, up from the prior three at 2.27%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). Over the last 6 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.25%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - LT
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Lithuania
DEFINITION
Lithuania's Gross Domestic Product YoY rose to 4.100000% in June 2026, up from May's 2.300000%, signaling stronger economic growth. This acceleration marks a significant expansion compared to the previous month. Market participants will watch upcoming data for confirmation of this upward trend. Updated 7/30/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 4.1 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 2.3 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 2.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.64) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - LT Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | LT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.7 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.95 | Low |
| 06:00 | LT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 4.1 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 3.20 | Low |