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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LithuaniaLithuania Industrial Production MoM climbed to 2.1% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Lithuania Industrial Production MoM climbed to 2.1% in June 2026, released July 2026, up 4.3% from May's -2.2% reading. The print exceeded the 1.5% consensus by 0.6%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.08%. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production MoM averaged -0.57%, vs 2.28% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 58th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
2.1
Actual
1.5
Consensus
-2.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.7 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 0.45
Actual: 2.1
Error: -1.65
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Industrial Production MoM (Lithuania) was reported at 2.1% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.5% by 0.6%. The reading rose from the previous value of -2.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.45%, ranging from -2.9% to 5.8% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.8%, down from the prior three at 1.07%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.42%) is lower than the prior year (σ 3.41%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Industrial Production MoM has averaged -0.9%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.7%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 28, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Industrial Production MoM - LT
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About Industrial Production MoM — Lithuania
DEFINITION
Industrial Production MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors within a specific country or region over a one-month period. This indicator provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the industrial sector, which is a crucial component of a country's overall economic performance. It is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can impact inflation, employment, and consumer spending. A positive MoM change in industrial production indicates a growing economy, while a negative change may signal a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 2.1 %, consensus 1.5 %. Prior reading (May 2026): -2.9 %. Before that (Apr 2026): -1.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bearish USD, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - LT Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | LT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.7 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.95 | Low |
| 06:00 | LT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 4.1 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 3.20 | Low |