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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LithuaniaLithuania Industrial Production MoM fell to -1.6% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Lithuania Industrial Production MoM fell to -1.6% in April 2026, released May 2026, down 4.9% from March's 3.3% reading. The reading missed the -1.2% consensus by 0.4%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 1.08%. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production MoM averaged 2.38%, vs 2.75% in the prior 3-month window. Industrial Production MoM is now the lowest in 8 months.
Latest Release
-1.6
Actual
-1.2
Consensus
3.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.7 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 0.38
Actual: -1.6
Error: +1.98
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Industrial Production MoM (Lithuania) was reported at -1.6% in May 2026. This missed the market consensus of -1.2% by 0.4%. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.43%, ranging from -2.7% to 5.8% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.63%, down from the prior three at 1.67%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.38%) is lower than the prior year (σ 3.38%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Industrial Production MoM has averaged -0.2%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.7%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 29, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Industrial Production MoM - LT
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About Industrial Production MoM — Lithuania
DEFINITION
Industrial Production MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors within a specific country or region over a one-month period. This indicator provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the industrial sector, which is a crucial component of a country's overall economic performance. It is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can impact inflation, employment, and consumer spending. A positive MoM change in industrial production indicates a growing economy, while a negative change may signal a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual -1.6 %, consensus -1.2 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 2.8 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 0.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.