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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LithuaniaLithuania Producer Price Index MoM fell to -2.4% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Lithuania Producer Price Index MoM fell to -2.4% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 1.3% from May's -1.1% reading. The reading missed the 0.1% consensus by 2.5%. Producer Price Index MoM has now declined for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged 1.1%, vs 2.0% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index MoM is now the lowest in 17 months.
Latest Release
-2.4
Actual
0.1
Consensus
-1.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.45 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 0.23
Actual: -2.4
Error: +2.63
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.60 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (Lithuania) was reported at -2.4% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 0.1% by 2.5%. The reading fell from the previous value of -1.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.07%, ranging from -2.4% to 3% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -0.07%, down from the prior three at -0.03%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.52%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.06%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.45%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - LT
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About Producer Price Index MoM — Lithuania
DEFINITION
Lithuania's Producer Price Index MoM fell sharply by -2.400000% in July, missing the 0.100000% estimate and declining from June's -0.800000%. This marks a deepening contraction in producer prices compared to the prior month. Market focus will remain on inflation trends as the central bank monitors these deflationary pressures. Updated 7/11/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -2.4 %, consensus 0.1 %. Prior reading (May 2026): -0.8 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bearish USD, r=-0.60) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - LT Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | LT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.7 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.95 | Low |
| 06:00 | LT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 4.1 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 3.20 | Low |