Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LithuaniaLithuania Producer Price Index MoM fell to 3.5% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Lithuania Producer Price Index MoM fell to 3.5% in September 2026, released October 2026, down 11.4% from August's 14.9% reading. The print exceeded the 0.5% consensus by 3.0%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.9%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged 1.65%, vs -0.07% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 92nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
3.5
Actual
0.5
Consensus
14.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.73 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 1.1
Actual: 3.5
Error: -2.4
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (Lithuania) was reported at 3.5% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.5% by 3%. The reading fell from the previous value of 14.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.68%, ranging from -2.4% to 3.5% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.27%, up from the prior three at -0.07%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.85%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.92%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.73%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 11, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
SHARE
Producer Price Index MoM - LT
Loading chart data...
About Producer Price Index MoM — Lithuania
DEFINITION
Lithuania's Producer Price Index MoM surged to 3.500000% in September, well above the 0.500000% estimate and up from August's 1.200000%. This sharp acceleration signals a strong expansion in producer prices after a moderate rise the previous month. Market participants will watch upcoming inflation data closely amid this notable price pressure. Updated 10/9/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 3.5 %, consensus 0.5 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 1.2 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 2.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - LT Events
| Wednesday, October 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | LT | Current Account | 456.9 | 88 | 360 | 408.45 | Low |