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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LithuaniaLithuania Producer Price Index MoM fell to -0.8% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Lithuania Producer Price Index MoM fell to -0.8% in May 2026, released June 2026, down 3.3% from April's 2.5% reading. The reading missed the 1.2% consensus by 2.0%. Producer Price Index MoM has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged 5.55%, vs -0.03% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 23rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-0.8
Actual
1.2
Consensus
2.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.13 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 2.45
Actual: -0.8
Error: +3.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.67 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (Lithuania) was reported at -0.8% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1.2% by 2%. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.26%, ranging from -1.8% to 3% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.17%, up from the prior three at -0.37%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.13%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 10, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - LT
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About Producer Price Index MoM — Lithuania
DEFINITION
Lithuania's Producer Price Index MoM fell by -0.800000% in June, missing the 1.200000% estimate and reversing May's 3.000000% increase. June's decline follows a sharp slowdown from April's 8.100000% surge, signaling easing producer inflation pressures. Market focus now shifts to upcoming inflation data and central bank policy amid this cooling trend. Updated 6/9/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual -0.8 %, consensus 1.2 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 3 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 8.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bearish USD, r=-0.67) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.