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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LithuaniaLithuania Producer Price Index MoM fell to 1.2% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Lithuania Producer Price Index MoM fell to 1.2% in August 2026, released September 2026, down 1.1% from July's 2.3% reading. The print exceeded the 0.5% consensus by 0.7%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.84%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged -0.15%, vs 3.43% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 75th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.2
Actual
0.5
Consensus
2.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.13 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 0.3
Actual: 1.2
Error: -0.9
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (Lithuania) was reported at 1.2% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.5% by 0.7%. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.32%, ranging from -2.4% to 3% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.3%, down from the prior three at 1.17%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.59%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.98%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.13%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 9, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - LT
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About Producer Price Index MoM — Lithuania
DEFINITION
Lithuania's Producer Price Index MoM rose 1.200000% in August, missing the estimate of 0.500000% but down sharply from July's 2.1%. August's increase signals continued price pressures but at a slower pace compared to the previous month. Market focus remains on upcoming inflation data and central bank policy adjustments. Updated 9/9/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 1.2 %, consensus 0.5 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 2.1 %. Before that (Jun 2026): -2.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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