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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LithuaniaLithuania Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 13.6% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Lithuania Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 13.6% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 1.9% from July's 11.7% reading. The print exceeded the 12.5% consensus by 1.1%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 10.55%, vs 10.97% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 19 months.
Latest Release
13.6
Actual
12.5
Consensus
11.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.66 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 12.25
Actual: 13.6
Error: -1.35
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.57 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.54 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Lithuania) was reported at 13.6% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 12.5% by 1.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 11.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 7.08%, ranging from -2.8% to 13.6% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 11.57%, up from the prior three at 7.87%. Volatility over the past year (σ 6.77%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.9%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.66%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 9, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - LT
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Lithuania
DEFINITION
Lithuania's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 13.600000% in September, beating the 12.500000% estimate. This marks an increase from August's 11.5%, signaling accelerating producer inflation. Markets will watch for central bank responses amid persistent price pressures. Updated 9/9/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 13.6 %, consensus 12.5 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 11.5 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 9.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP, r=-0.57) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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