Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LithuaniaLithuania Producer Price Index YoY fell to 9.6% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Lithuania Producer Price Index YoY fell to 9.6% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 3.3% from May's 12.9% reading. The reading missed the 12.4% consensus by 2.8%. Producer Price Index YoY has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 13.2%, vs 1.85% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 82nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
9.6
Actual
12.4
Consensus
12.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.58 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 13.18
Actual: 9.6
Error: +3.58
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.58 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.51 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.39 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Lithuania) was reported at 9.6% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 12.4% by 2.8%. The reading fell from the previous value of 12.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.24%, ranging from -2.8% to 13.6% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 12%, up from the prior three at -1.5%. Volatility over the past year (σ 6.84%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.96%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.58%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
SHARE
Producer Price Index YoY - LT
Loading chart data...
About Producer Price Index YoY — Lithuania
DEFINITION
Lithuania's Producer Price Index YoY came in at 9.600000% for July, missing the 12.400000% estimate and down from June's 12.900000%. This marks a continued deceleration in producer price inflation from June to July. Market focus will remain on inflation trends as central banks monitor easing price pressures. Updated 7/11/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 9.6 %, consensus 12.4 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 12.8 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 13.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP, r=-0.58) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - LT Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | LT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.7 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.95 | Low |
| 06:00 | LT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 4.1 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 3.20 | Low |