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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LithuaniaLithuania Producer Price Index YoY fell to 12.8% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Lithuania Producer Price Index YoY fell to 12.8% in May 2026, released June 2026, down 0.3% from April's 13.1% reading. The reading missed the 15.5% consensus by 2.7%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.06%. The reading is in the 88th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
12.8
Actual
15.5
Consensus
13.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.55 percentage points
across last 11 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 18.4
Actual: 12.8
Error: +5.6
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.74 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.59 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Lithuania) was reported at 12.8% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 15.5% by 2.7%. The reading fell from the previous value of 13.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.49%, ranging from -2.8% to 13.6% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 7.87%, up from the prior three at -1.17%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 11 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.55%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 10, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - LT
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Lithuania
DEFINITION
Lithuania's Producer Price Index YoY came in at 12.800%, missing the 15.500% estimate for June. This marks a decline from May's 13.100%, indicating a slowdown in producer price inflation. The softer reading may influence market expectations ahead of upcoming monetary policy decisions. Updated 6/9/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 12.8 %, consensus 15.5 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 13.6 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 6.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP, r=-0.74) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.