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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LithuaniaLithuania Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 17.5% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Lithuania Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 17.5% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 3.9% from August's 13.6% reading. The print exceeded the 14.0% consensus by 3.5%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 12.55%, vs 12.0% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 20 months.
Latest Release
17.5
Actual
14
Consensus
13.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.71 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 14.73
Actual: 17.5
Error: -2.78
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.54 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.25 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Lithuania) was reported at 17.5% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 14% by 3.5%. The reading rose from the previous value of 13.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 9.36%, ranging from -2.8% to 17.5% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 14.2%, up from the prior three at 12%. Volatility over the past year (σ 6.82%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.95%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.71%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 11, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - LT
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Lithuania
DEFINITION
Lithuania's Producer Price Index YoY surged to 17.500000% in September, beating the 14.000000% estimate and rising from August's 13.600000%. This marks a significant acceleration in producer price inflation, indicating expanding cost pressures in the economy. Market focus will remain on upcoming inflation data and central bank responses amid this sharp increase. Updated 10/9/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 17.5 %, consensus 14 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 13.6 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 11.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP, r=-0.54) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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