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Retail Sales YoY fell to 2.6 in February 2026, down 6.7 from January's 9.3 reading. The reading missed the 4.4 consensus by 1.8. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 4.33. Retail Sales YoY is now the lowest in 8 months.
The March 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 9.3. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC) and positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP).
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| Monday, May 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.75 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 5.3 | 4.8 | 5.3 | 5.33 | Low | |
| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Producer Price Index MoM | 8.1 | 0.5 | 0.40 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Producer Price Index YoY | 6.5 | 7.8 | 7.80 | Low | ||