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Balance of Trade fell to -395 in March 2026, down 61 from February's -334 reading. The reading missed the -220 consensus by 175. Balance of Trade has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Balance of Trade averaged -280.67, vs -308 in the prior 3-month window. Balance of Trade is now the lowest in 7 months.
The May 2026 reading fell from the previous value of -334. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP) and negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Monday, May 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | Balance of Trade | -395 | -334 | -220 | -223.00 | Low | |
| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.75 | Low | ||
| 10:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3 | 3.10 | Low | ||
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | Current Account | -23 | -120 | -120.00 | Low | ||