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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MoldovaMoldova Producer Price Index YoY fell to -0.4% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Moldova Producer Price Index YoY fell to -0.4% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.3% from May's -0.1% reading. The print exceeded the -0.7% consensus by 0.3%. Producer Price Index YoY has now declined for 8 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 0.73%, vs 4.0% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the lowest in 17 months.
Latest Release
-0.4
Actual
-0.7
Consensus
-0.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.8 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: -1.2
Actual: -0.4
Error: -0.8
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.39 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Moldova) was reported at -0.4% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of -0.7% by 0.3%. The reading fell from the previous value of -0.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.92%, ranging from -0.4% to 7.1% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.2%, down from the prior three at 4%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.66%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.28%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Producer Price Index YoY has averaged 3.4%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, positively correlated (Bullish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.8%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 19, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - MD
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Moldova
DEFINITION
Moldova's Producer Price Index YoY for June fell to -0.400000%, beating the -0.700000% estimate and down from May's -0.100000%. The data shows a continued contraction in producer prices, deepening from the prior month. Market participants will watch upcoming inflation reports for further signals on monetary policy. Updated 7/18/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -0.4 %, consensus -0.7 %. Prior reading (May 2026): -0.1 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 1.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - MD Events
| Thursday, August 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | MD | Interest Rate Decision | 7 | 7.25 | 7.25 | Low | |