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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MoldovaMoldova Producer Price Index YoY climbed to -0.2% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Moldova Producer Price Index YoY climbed to -0.2% in July 2026, released August 2026, up 0.2% from June's -0.4% reading. The reading matched the -0.2% consensus. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 3.69%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged -0.25%, vs 1.5% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 7th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-0.2
Actual
-0.2
Consensus
-0.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.8 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: -0.43
Actual: -0.2
Error: -0.23
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Moldova) was reported at -0.2% in August 2026. This matched the market consensus of -0.2% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.43%, ranging from -0.4% to 7.1% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.23%, down from the prior three at 2.27%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.87%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.23%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, positively correlated (Bullish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.8%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 18, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - MD
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Moldova
DEFINITION
Moldova's Producer Price Index YoY for August came in at -0.200000%, matching estimates and improving from July's -0.400000%. The data indicates a slower pace of deflation compared to the previous month, signaling a modest easing in producer price declines. Market participants will watch upcoming inflation reports for further clarity on the central bank's policy direction. Updated 8/19/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual -0.2 %, consensus -0.2 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): -0.4 %. Before that (May 2026): -0.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - MD Events
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | MD | Interest Rate Decision | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.75 | Low | |
| Friday, September 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | MD | Producer Price Index YoY | -0.2 | 0.5 | -0.10 | Low | |
| Monday, September 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | MD | Industrial Production YoY | 10.6 | 8.5 | 9.30 | Low | |