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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MoldovaMoldova Producer Price Index YoY fell to 1.1% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Moldova Producer Price Index YoY fell to 1.1% in April 2026, released May 2026, down 0.1% from March's 1.2% reading. The reading missed the 1.9% consensus by 0.8%. Producer Price Index YoY has now declined for 6 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 2.3%, vs 6.35% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the lowest in 15 months.
Latest Release
1.1
Actual
1.9
Consensus
1.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.76 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 1.03
Actual: 1.1
Error: -0.08
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Moldova) was reported at 1.1% in May 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1.9% by 0.8%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.93%, ranging from 1.1% to 7.1% across 12 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.27%, down from the prior three at 6.37%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.76%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 18, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - MD
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Moldova
DEFINITION
Moldova's Producer Price Index YoY for May came in at 1.100000%, missing the 1.900000% estimate and down from April's 1.200000%. The index continues its downward trend from the 6.3% peak in January, signaling easing inflationary pressures. Market focus now shifts to upcoming inflation data and central bank policy adjustments. Updated 5/19/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1.1 %, consensus 1.9 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 1.2 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 2.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.