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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MoldovaMoldova Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 0.3% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Moldova Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 0.3% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 0.1% from August's 0.2% reading. The reading missed the 2.5% consensus by 2.2%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 0.0%, vs 0.2% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 20th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.3
Actual
2.5
Consensus
0.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.9 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 2.43
Actual: 0.3
Error: +2.13
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.64 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.57 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.25 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Moldova) was reported at 0.3% in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 2.5% by 2.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.34%, ranging from -0.4% to 6.4% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.1%, down from the prior three at 0.2%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.7%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.37%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.9%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 19, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - MD
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Moldova
DEFINITION
Moldova's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 0.300000% in September, missing the 2.500000% estimate but up from August's 0.200000%. The index shows a modest acceleration in producer prices year-over-year, indicating a slight inflationary pressure after a period of near stagnation. Market participants will watch upcoming inflation data closely amid this gradual upward trend. Updated 10/19/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 0.3 %, consensus 2.5 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 0.2 %. Before that (Jul 2026): -0.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP, r=0.64) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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