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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico Consumer Confidence climbed to 46.1% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Mexico Consumer Confidence climbed to 46.1% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.9% from July's 45.2% reading. The reading matched the 44.7% consensus. Consumer Confidence has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Consumer Confidence is now the highest in 10 months.
Latest Release
46.1
Actual
44.7
Consensus
45.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.55 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 44.6
Actual: 46.1
Error: -1.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Mexico) was reported at 46.1% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 44.7% by 1.4%. The reading rose from the previous value of 45.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 44.98%, ranging from 43.5% to 46.5% across 8 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 44.87%, up from the prior three at 44.2%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.06%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 1.02%). In September readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged 46.73%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.55%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 6, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Sep 24) and Balance of Trade (Sep 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - MX
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About Consumer Confidence — Mexico
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 46.1 %, consensus 44.7 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 45 %. Before that (May 2026): 43.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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