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Mexico Consumer Confidence climbed to 44.4% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 0.2% from March's 44.2% reading. The reading matched the 45.0% consensus. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 44.25%, vs 44.1% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 20th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.25 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The May 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 44.2. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.52. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU) and negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Thursday, May 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3.30 | Low | ||
| 12:00 | Retail Sales MoM | -0.9 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||