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Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Sigmacast expected range ± 0.5–1.0% · 7–28-day calibrated zone
Last Updated: 6/14/26
recent path character per horizon · descriptive, not a forecast
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: Gross Domestic Product YoY (r=+0.74), GDP Growth Rate YoY (r=+0.65), Gross Domestic Product QoQ (r=+0.54), Fiscal Balance (r=+0.52), Mid-month Inflation Rate MoM (r=+0.51)
Inversely correlated: Interest Rate Decision (r=-0.92), Inflation Rate MoM (r=-0.61), GDP Growth (Annual %) (r=-0.50)
As of June 17, 2026, USD/MXN is trading at 17.1958. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this forex pair generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
recently sideways · ER 0.12 · trailing 14d · descriptive, not a forecast
Cone = how far price could move from HERE — not a corridor; direction not predicted.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
The USD/MXN forex pair tracks the exchange rate between the US Dollar and the Mexican Peso. The USD/MXN pair closed at 17.1958 on June 16, 2026, reflecting a gain of 0.04% from the previous close of 17.1890.
Over the past 30 days, the pair has experienced a modest downtrend with a decline of 0.52%, ranging between 17.1575 and 17.5374. The price currently trades below its 20-day moving average of 17.3375. The 14-day RSI stands at 39.1, in moderately bearish territory. Among macroeconomic indicators in our coverage, Interest Rate Decision shows the strongest historical relationship with this instrument, negatively correlated (r = -0.92) aligned with a bearish bias.
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 0.33%, reflecting subdued price variability for this pair. Across the past 52 weeks, the pair has traded between 17.0872 and 18.7730, with the current price near the low end of that range.
Daily-return volatility of 0.33% is subdued for this pair, leaving recent ranges compressed — watch for a decisive break of the band as the more telling development. USD/MXN is currently trading 0.82% below its 20-day moving average and sitting in the lower portion of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 39.1, currently in neutral territory. For cross-confirmation, the Interest Rate Decision indicator carries the strongest historical correlation with USD/MXN (r = -0.92) and is worth watching for context.
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Jun 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.