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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico Gross Fixed Investment MoM climbed to 4.0% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Mexico Gross Fixed Investment MoM climbed to 4.0% in April 2026, released July 2026, up 3.6% from March's 0.4% reading. The print exceeded the 3.0% consensus by 1.0%. Gross Fixed Investment MoM has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Gross Fixed Investment MoM averaged -0.2%, vs 0.18% in the prior 3-month window. Gross Fixed Investment MoM is now the highest in 34 months.
Latest Release
4
Actual
3
Consensus
0.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.61 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 3.15
Actual: 4
Error: -0.85
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/MXN | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Fixed Investment MoM (Mexico) was reported at 4% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 3% by 1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.43%, ranging from -2.7% to 4% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.63%, up from the prior three at 0.33%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.68%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.21%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/MXN (Bearish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.61%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 5, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Aug 3) and Consumer Confidence (Aug 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Gross Fixed Investment MoM - MX
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About Gross Fixed Investment MoM — Mexico
DEFINITION
Gross Fixed Investment MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total value of investments made by businesses and governments in fixed assets, such as buildings, machinery, and equipment, over a one-month period. This indicator provides valuable insights into the level of investment activity and can be used to assess the overall health and growth potential of an economy. It is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as a gauge of economic stability and future prospects.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 4 %, consensus 3 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 0.4 %. Before that (Feb 2026): -0.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/MXN (Bearish USD, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - MX Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | MX | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.5 | -0.6 | 1.3 | 1.40 | Medium |
| 12:00 | MX | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.5 | -0.6 | 1.3 | 1.40 | Medium |
| 12:00 | MX | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 2.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.85 | Medium |
| 12:00 | MX | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.85 | Medium |