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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico Gross Fixed Investment MoM climbed to 1.3% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Mexico Gross Fixed Investment MoM climbed to 1.3% in June 2026, released September 2026, up 1.7% from May's -0.4% reading. The print exceeded the 0.4% consensus by 0.9%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.09%. Over the past 3 months, Gross Fixed Investment MoM averaged 1.8%, vs -0.5% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 85th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.3
Actual
0.4
Consensus
-0.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.61 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 1
Actual: 1.3
Error: -0.3
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Gross Fixed Investment MoM (Mexico) was reported at 1.3% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.4% by 0.9%. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.57%, ranging from -2.7% to 4% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.63%, up from the prior three at 0.43%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.61%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.25%). In September readings over the past 3 years, Gross Fixed Investment MoM has averaged -0.37%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.61%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 5, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Sep 24) and Balance of Trade (Sep 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Gross Fixed Investment MoM - MX
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About Gross Fixed Investment MoM — Mexico
DEFINITION
Gross Fixed Investment MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total value of investments made by businesses and governments in fixed assets, such as buildings, machinery, and equipment, over a one-month period. This indicator provides valuable insights into the level of investment activity and can be used to assess the overall health and growth potential of an economy. It is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as a gauge of economic stability and future prospects.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 1.3 %, consensus 0.4 %. Prior reading (May 2026): -0.4 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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