Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MalaysiaMalaysia Coincident Index MoM held to -0.1% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Malaysia Coincident Index MoM held to -0.1% in August 2026, released October 2026. The reading missed the 0.2% consensus by 0.3%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.21%. Over the past 3 months, Coincident Index MoM averaged 0.1%, vs 0.47% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 39th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-0.1
Actual
0.2
Consensus
-0.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.4 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 0.08
Actual: -0.1
Error: +0.18
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.53 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| USD/MYR | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Coincident Index MoM (Malaysia) was reported at -0.1% in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 0.2% by 0.3%. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.32%, ranging from -0.3% to 0.9% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.03%, down from the prior three at 0.47%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.43%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.84%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Coincident Index MoM has averaged -0.43%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with USD/MYR, negatively correlated (Bearish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.4%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 25, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate (Nov 5).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
SHARE
Coincident Index MoM - MY
Loading chart data...
About Coincident Index MoM — Malaysia
DEFINITION
The Coincident Index MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the current state of the economy by tracking changes in four major components: employment, industrial production, personal income, and retail sales. It provides valuable insights into the overall health and direction of the economy, as well as potential shifts in consumer spending and business activity. This index is widely used by economists, policymakers, and investors to make informed decisions and predictions about the economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual -0.1 %, consensus 0.2 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): -0.1 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 0.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.53) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - MY Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | MY | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49.9 | 50.2 | 49.95 | Low | |