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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MalaysiaMalaysia Coincident Index MoM climbed to 0.8% in March 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Malaysia Coincident Index MoM climbed to 0.8% in March 2026, released May 2026, up 2.2% from February's -1.4% reading. The print exceeded the 0.3% consensus by 0.5%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.23%. The reading is in the 85th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.8
Actual
0.3
Consensus
-1.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.4 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 0.42
Actual: 0.8
Error: -0.38
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Coincident Index MoM (Malaysia) was reported at 0.8% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.3% by 0.5%. The reading rose from the previous value of -1.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.33%, ranging from -0.6% to 1.2% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.56%, up from the prior three at 0.07%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.52%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.81%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Coincident Index MoM has averaged 0.4%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.4%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 25, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 19) and Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Coincident Index MoM - MY
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About Coincident Index MoM — Malaysia
DEFINITION
The Coincident Index MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the current state of the economy by tracking changes in four major components: employment, industrial production, personal income, and retail sales. It provides valuable insights into the overall health and direction of the economy, as well as potential shifts in consumer spending and business activity. This index is widely used by economists, policymakers, and investors to make informed decisions and predictions about the economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Mar 2026): actual 0.8 %, consensus 0.3 %. Prior reading (Feb 2026): -1.4 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 0.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.56) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.