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Leading Index MoM climbed to -0.3 in February 2026, up 0.4 from January's -0.7 reading. The reading missed the 0.3 consensus by 0.6. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.06. Over the past 3 months, Leading Index MoM averaged -0.05, vs 1.05 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 46th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
The April 2026 reading rose from the previous value of -0.7. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Watch) and negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Watch).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Monday, May 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 7.5 | 7.7 | 5 | 5.85 | Low | |
| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 04:00 | Unemployment Rate | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.80 | Low | ||
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 04:00 | Construction Output YoY | 10.3 | 7.6 | 7.30 | Low | ||