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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MalaysiaMalaysia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 5.4% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Malaysia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 5.4% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 4.3% from March's 1.1% reading. The print exceeded the 3.0% consensus by 2.4%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged -1.73%, vs -1.53% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 15 months.
Latest Release
5.4
Actual
3
Consensus
1.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.05 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 2.83
Actual: 5.4
Error: -2.58
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.63 | INDEX | Bullish Nikkei 225 | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.62 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| USD/MYR | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Malaysia) was reported at 5.4% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 3% by 2.4%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -1.88%, ranging from -4.2% to 5.4% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.3%, up from the prior three at -1.53%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Nikkei 225 (Bullish Nikkei 225). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.05%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 29, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 19) and Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - MY
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Malaysia
DEFINITION
Malaysia's Producer Price Index YoY surged to 5.400% in May, sharply beating the 3.000% estimate and rising from April's 1.100%. This marks a significant acceleration in producer inflation after months of contraction from August through March. The sharp increase pressures monetary policy as markets weigh the impact on inflation and upcoming central bank decisions. Updated 5/25/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 5.4 %, consensus 3 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 1.1 %. Before that (Feb 2026): -3.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Nikkei 225 (Bullish Nikkei 225, r=0.63) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.