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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MalaysiaMalaysia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 12.0% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Malaysia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 12.0% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 1.3% from August's 10.7% reading. The print exceeded the 10.9% consensus by 1.1%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 8 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 10.2%, vs 7.47% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 20 months.
Latest Release
12
Actual
10.9
Consensus
10.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.44 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 11.15
Actual: 12
Error: -0.85
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.65 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.47 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/MYR | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Malaysia) was reported at 12% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 10.9% by 1.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 10.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.99%, ranging from -3.4% to 12% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 10.8%, up from the prior three at 7.47%. Volatility over the past year (σ 5.9%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.75%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with Nikkei 225, positively correlated (Bullish Nikkei 225). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.44%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 27, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate (Nov 5).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - MY
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Malaysia
DEFINITION
Malaysia's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 12.000000% in October, surpassing the 10.9% estimate and up from September's 10.7%. This marks continued acceleration in producer inflation, reflecting stronger cost pressures year-over-year. Markets will watch for central bank responses amid persistent inflationary trends. Updated 10/28/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 12 %, consensus 10.9 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 10.7 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 9.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.65) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - MY Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | MY | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49.9 | 50.2 | 49.95 | Low | |