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Inflation Rate YoY climbed to 3.1 in April 2026, up 1.0 from March's 2.1 reading. The print came in hotter than the 2.4 consensus, a hotter print than forecasters anticipated. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 0.5. Over the past 3 months, Inflation Rate YoY averaged 2.47, vs 3.33 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 17th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
The May 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 2.1. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU).
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| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.72 | Low | |
| 08:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.1 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.45 | Low | |