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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
NigeriaNigeria Interest Rate Decision held to 26.5% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Nigeria Interest Rate Decision held to 26.5% in May 2026. The reading matched the 26.5% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 1.0%. Interest Rate Decision is now the lowest in 22 months.
Latest Release
26.5
Actual
26.5
Consensus
26.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.19 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 27.25
Actual: 26.5
Error: +0.75
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Interest Rate Decision (Nigeria) was reported at 26.5% in May 2026. This matched the market consensus of 26.5% exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 26.67%, down from the prior three at 27.33%. In May readings over the past 3 years, Interest Rate Decision has averaged 26.75%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.19%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Interest Rate Decision - NG
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About Interest Rate Decision — Nigeria
DEFINITION
The Interest Rate Decision is a key financial indicator that reflects the decision made by a central bank or monetary authority to either increase, decrease, or maintain the current interest rates. This decision has a significant impact on the economy, as it affects the cost of borrowing money, inflation rates, and overall economic growth. Investors and businesses closely monitor interest rate decisions as they can have a significant impact on financial markets and investment strategies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 26.5 %, consensus 26.5 %. Prior reading (Feb 2026): 26.5 %. Before that (Nov 2025): 27 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.