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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
NetherlandsNetherlands Consumer Confidence climbed to -35.0% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Netherlands Consumer Confidence climbed to -35.0% in July 2026, up 4.0% from June's -39.0% reading. The print exceeded the -40.0% consensus by 5.0%. Consumer Confidence has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged -42.5%, vs -32.67% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 28th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-35
Actual
-40
Consensus
-39
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.75 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: -40
Actual: -35
Error: -5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.54 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.39 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Netherlands) was reported at -35% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of -40% by 5%. The reading rose from the previous value of -39%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -30.7%, ranging from -46% to -21% across 10 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -40%, down from the prior three at -25%. Volatility over the past year (σ 7.56%) is higher than the prior year (σ 5.63%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged -30.33%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.75%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 21, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - NL
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About Consumer Confidence — Netherlands
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual -35 %, consensus -40 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): -39 %. Before that (May 2026): -46 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.54) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - NL Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:20 | NL | Business Confidence | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.70 | Low |
| 04:30 | NL | Business Confidence | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.70 | Low |
| 04:30 | NL | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.1 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 3.00 | Medium |
| 04:30 | NL | CPI YoY | 3.1 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 3.00 | Low |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 04:30 | NL | Retail Sales YoY | 2.9 | 3 | 3.00 | Low | |
| 05:00 | NL | NEVI Manufacturing PMI | 55.5 | 55 | 55.95 | Low | |