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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
NetherlandsNetherlands Household Consumption YoY fell to 1.2% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Netherlands Household Consumption YoY fell to 1.2% in July 2026, released September 2026, down 0.5% from June's 1.7% reading. The reading missed the 1.4% consensus by 0.2%. Household Consumption YoY has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Household Consumption YoY averaged 1.75%, vs 0.47% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 70th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.2
Actual
1.4
Consensus
1.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.55 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 1.8
Actual: 1.2
Error: +0.6
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.90 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.57 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.52 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.49 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Household Consumption YoY (Netherlands) was reported at 1.2% in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1.4% by 0.2%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.99%, ranging from 0% to 1.8% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.57%, up from the prior three at 0.6%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.53%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.68%). In September readings over the past 3 years, Household Consumption YoY has averaged 1.2%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.55%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Sep 17) and Consumer Confidence (Sep 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Household Consumption YoY - NL
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About Household Consumption YoY — Netherlands
DEFINITION
Household Consumption YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the amount of goods and services purchased by households in a given period compared to the same period in the previous year. It is a key measure of consumer spending, which is a major driver of economic growth. A positive YoY growth in household consumption indicates a healthy economy, while a negative growth may signal a slowdown. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and policymakers to assess the overall health of the economy and make informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 1.2 %, consensus 1.4 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 1.7 %. Before that (May 2026): 1.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.90) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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