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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
NetherlandsNetherlands Household Consumption YoY climbed to 2.1% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Netherlands Household Consumption YoY climbed to 2.1% in August 2026, released October 2026, up 0.9% from July's 1.2% reading. The print exceeded the 1.0% consensus by 1.1%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.88%. Over the past 3 months, Household Consumption YoY averaged 1.45%, vs 1.23% in the prior 3-month window. Household Consumption YoY is now the highest in 22 months.
Latest Release
2.1
Actual
1
Consensus
1.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.61 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 0.93
Actual: 2.1
Error: -1.18
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.66 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.61 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Household Consumption YoY (Netherlands) was reported at 2.1% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1% by 1.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.1%, ranging from 0% to 2.1% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.67%, up from the prior three at 0.93%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.63%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.66%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Household Consumption YoY has averaged 1.3%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.61%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 6, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Consumer Confidence (Oct 22) and Consumer Confidence (Oct 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Household Consumption YoY - NL
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About Household Consumption YoY — Netherlands
DEFINITION
Household Consumption YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the amount of goods and services purchased by households in a given period compared to the same period in the previous year. It is a key measure of consumer spending, which is a major driver of economic growth. A positive YoY growth in household consumption indicates a healthy economy, while a negative growth may signal a slowdown. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and policymakers to assess the overall health of the economy and make informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 2.1 %, consensus 1 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 1.2 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 1.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.66) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - NL Events
| Thursday, October 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:30 | NL | Unemployment Rate | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4.00 | Medium |