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Norway Manufacturing Production MoM fell to -0.9% in April 2026, released June 2026, down 2.9% from March's 2.0% reading. The reading missed the -0.8% consensus by 0.1%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.37%. Over the past 3 months, Manufacturing Production MoM averaged 0.8%, vs 0.67% in the prior 3-month window. Manufacturing Production MoM is now the lowest in 10 months.
across last 12 releases
Jun 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| EUR/NOK | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Manufacturing Production MoM (Norway) was reported at -0.9% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of -0.8% by 0.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.1%, ranging from -1.7% to 2.4% across 9 releases.
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -0.43%, down from the prior three at 0.73%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.09%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.58%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Manufacturing Production MoM has averaged -1.23%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.14%.
The next release is scheduled for July 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Norges Bank Interest Rate Decision (Jun 18) and Interest Rate Decision (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
Manufacturing Production MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of goods produced by the manufacturing sector in a given month. This indicator provides valuable insights into the health and performance of the manufacturing industry, which is a crucial component of a country's overall economic growth. A positive change in Manufacturing Production MoM indicates an increase in production and can be seen as a sign of economic expansion, while a negative change may signal a decline in manufacturing activity. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts to make informed decisions and forecasts about the state of the economy.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual -0.9 %, consensus -0.8 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 2 %. Before that (Feb 2026): -0.4 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | Norges Bank Interest Rate Decision | 4.25 | 4.25 | 4.25 | Medium | ||
| 08:00 | Interest Rate Decision | 4.25 | 4.25 | 4.25 | Medium | ||