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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PeruPeru GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 3.56% in July 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased September 2026
Peru GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 3.56% in July 2026, released September 2026, up 1.81% from June's 1.75% reading. The print exceeded the 2.5% consensus by 1.06%. GDP Growth Rate YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, GDP Growth Rate YoY averaged 2.18%, vs 3.53% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 56th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
3.56
Actual
2.5
Consensus
1.75
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.28 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 2.44
Actual: 3.56
Error: -1.12
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Peru) was reported at 3.56% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 2.5% by 1.06%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.75%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.19%, ranging from 1.53% to 3.94% across 14 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.64%, down from the prior three at 3.48%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.71%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.88%). In September readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate YoY has averaged 3.81%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.28%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - PE
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About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Peru
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 3.56 %, consensus 2.5 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 3 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 1.75 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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