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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PeruPeru GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 3.23% in August 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased October 2026
Peru GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 3.23% in August 2026, released October 2026, down 0.33% from July's 3.56% reading. The reading matched the 3.4% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 0.05%. Over the past 3 months, GDP Growth Rate YoY averaged 2.64%, vs 3.48% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 36th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
3.23
Actual
3.4
Consensus
3.56
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.3 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 3.54
Actual: 3.23
Error: +0.31
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.25 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Peru) was reported at 3.23% in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 3.4% by 0.17%. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.56%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.19%, ranging from 1.53% to 3.94% across 14 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.13%, up from the prior three at 2.99%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.71%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.89%). In October readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate YoY has averaged 3.31%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.3%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 16, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - PE
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About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Peru
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 3.23 %, consensus 3.4 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 3.56 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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Economic Calendar - PE Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | PE | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.55 | 4.6 | 4.60 | Low | |
| 10:00 | PE | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.57 | 0.12 | 0 | 0.28 | Low |