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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PeruPeru Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 3.23% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Peru Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 3.23% in August 2026, released October 2026, down 0.33% from July's 3.56% reading. The reading matched the 3.4% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 0.05%. Over the past 3 months, Gross Domestic Product YoY averaged 2.66%, vs 3.48% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 30th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
3.23
Actual
3.4
Consensus
3.56
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.85 percentage points
across last 6 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 3.93
Actual: 3.23
Error: +0.7
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Peru) was reported at 3.23% in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 3.4% by 0.17%. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.56%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.22%, ranging from 1.53% to 3.94% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.85%, down from the prior three at 3.48%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.78%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.04%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 6 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.86%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - PE
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Peru
DEFINITION
Peru's Gross Domestic Product YoY came in at 3.230000% for September, missing the 3.400000% estimate. This marks a decline from August's 3.560000%, indicating a slowdown in economic growth. Market participants will watch upcoming data closely as the central bank maintains its current monetary policy stance. Updated 10/15/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 3.23 %, consensus 3.4 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 3.56 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 1.75 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - PE Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | PE | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.55 | 4.6 | 4.60 | Low | |
| 10:00 | PE | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.57 | 0.12 | 0 | 0.28 | Low |