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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PhilippinesPhilippines Foreign Direct Investment climbed to 0.7B in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Philippines Foreign Direct Investment climbed to 0.7B in July 2026, released October 2026, up 0.3B from June's 0.4B reading. The print came in hotter than the 0.5B consensus, a hotter print than forecasters anticipated. Foreign Direct Investment has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Direct Investment averaged 0.3B, vs 0.5B in the prior 3-month window. Foreign Direct Investment is now the highest in 7 months.
Latest Release
0.7
Actual
0.5
Consensus
0.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.26 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 0.42
Actual: 0.7
Error: -0.28
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Foreign Direct Investment (Philippines) was reported at 0.70 billion in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.50 billion by 0.20 billion. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.40 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.51 billion, ranging from 0.20 billion to 0.90 billion across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.43 billion, down from the prior three at 0.50 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.20 billion) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.30 billion). In October readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Direct Investment has averaged 0.93 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.26 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 10, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Nov 5) and Inflation Rate YoY (Nov 5).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Foreign Direct Investment - PH
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About Foreign Direct Investment — Philippines
DEFINITION
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is a financial indicator that measures the amount of capital invested by a foreign entity into a domestic economy. It is a key measure of a country's attractiveness to foreign investors and can have a significant impact on economic growth, job creation, and technological advancement. FDI is often used as a gauge of a country's openness to international trade and its ability to attract and retain foreign capital. This indicator is closely monitored by governments, businesses, and investors as it provides valuable insights into the overall health and competitiveness of a country's economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 0.7 B, consensus 0.5 B. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 0.4 B. Before that (May 2026): 0.2 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - PH Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | PH | Balance of Trade | -5.15 | -4.29 | -4.3 | -4.72 | Low |
| 01:00 | PH | Producer Price Index YoY | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low |
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | PH | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49.6 | 50.3 | 50.60 | Low | |