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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PhilippinesPhilippines Foreign Direct Investment fell to 0.4B in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Philippines Foreign Direct Investment fell to 0.4B in June 2026, released September 2026, down 0.2B from May's 0.6B reading. The print came in cooler than the 0.51B consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.53B. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Direct Investment averaged 0.25B, vs 0.53B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 30th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.4
Actual
0.51
Consensus
0.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.27 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 0.43
Actual: 0.4
Error: +0.02
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.68 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Direct Investment (Philippines) was reported at 0.40 billion in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 0.51 billion by 0.11 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.60 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.57 billion, ranging from 0.20 billion to 1.30 billion across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.30 billion, down from the prior three at 0.60 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.31 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.24 billion). In September readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Direct Investment has averaged 0.40 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.27 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 9, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Foreign Direct Investment - PH
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About Foreign Direct Investment — Philippines
DEFINITION
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is a financial indicator that measures the amount of capital invested by a foreign entity into a domestic economy. It is a key measure of a country's attractiveness to foreign investors and can have a significant impact on economic growth, job creation, and technological advancement. FDI is often used as a gauge of a country's openness to international trade and its ability to attract and retain foreign capital. This indicator is closely monitored by governments, businesses, and investors as it provides valuable insights into the overall health and competitiveness of a country's economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 0.4 B, consensus 0.51 B. Prior reading (May 2026): 0.2 B. Before that (Apr 2026): 0.3 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.68) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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