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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PhilippinesPhilippines Industrial Production YoY climbed to 14.7% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Philippines Industrial Production YoY climbed to 14.7% in April 2026, released June 2026, up 1.6% from March's 13.1% reading. The print came in hotter than the 12.0% consensus, a hotter print than forecasters anticipated. Industrial Production YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Industrial Production YoY is now the highest in 38 months.
Latest Release
14.7
Actual
12
Consensus
13.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.9 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 12
Actual: 14.7
Error: -2.7
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Industrial Production YoY (Philippines) was reported at 14.7% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 12% by 2.7%. The reading rose from the previous value of 13.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 5.1%, up from the prior three at 2.23%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.9%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Industrial Production YoY - PH
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About Industrial Production YoY — Philippines
DEFINITION
Industrial Production YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors over a 12-month period. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of a country's industrial sector, which is a crucial component of its overall economic performance. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can signal potential shifts in the economy and help inform business and investment decisions. A positive YoY growth in industrial production indicates a strong and expanding industrial sector, while a negative growth may suggest a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 14.7 %, consensus 12 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 10.5 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 4.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.